Result
2:0
29/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Bbaale C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 2 - 0, Obedi B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Police
51% | Draw
23.7% | UPDF
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UPDF's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UPDF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Police - UPDF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.48) |
3.84 ↑
(3.64) |
3.59 ↓
(6.31) |
9.9%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Police - UPDF?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Police will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- UPDF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Police is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against UPDF?
Police has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UPDF won against Police?
UPDF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - UPDF were as follows:
06.11.2025
UPDF
-
Police
1:2
27.11.2024
UPDF
-
Police
2:2
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 26 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 59 |
| 2 | Kitara | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 38:15 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 52 |
| 4 | Villa | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38:14 | 24 | 51 |
| 5 | NEC FC | 26 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Police | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 43 |
| 8 | BUL | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Maroons | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Express | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | URA SC | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 19:34 | -15 | 23 |
| 13 | UPDF | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 22:35 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Buhimba | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16:56 | -40 | 15 |
| 16 | Calvary | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 10:38 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
