Urawa Red Diamonds vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Saitama Stadium (Saitama).

J1 League - Round 15
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	2.08
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
0	4
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
86% (500/582)	78% (294/378)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	2.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	1.41
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
0	4
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
32	16
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	4
Passes
86% (500/582)	78% (294/378)
Long passes
45% (21/47)	33% (19/57)
Passes in final third
68% (104/153)	66% (69/105)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.17	1.11
Throw-ins
11	25
Fouls
4	8
Tackles
89% (8/9)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
41	42
Clearances
21	33
Interceptions
7	5
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
1.41	0.00
Goals prevented
0.51	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Nishikawa S. ↓, Niekawa A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Meshino R. (A),
68', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
68', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
68', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
74', Meshino R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
74', Kurokawa K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
78', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
79', Ishihara H. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
79', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
84', Yamashita R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
84', Usami T. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Urawa Red Diamonds
42.6%

Draw
28.6%

Gamba Osaka
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

28.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)	3.27 ↓ (3.36)	3.28 ↓ (3.57)	6.5% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka?

Users Predictions: Urawa Red Diamonds will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4.
Urawa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gamba Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
Urawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Gamba Osaka?

Urawa Red Diamonds has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?

Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka were as follows:

28.01.2025 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:4

14.09.2024 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:1

20.04.2024 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 0:1

24.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:3

10.09.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka 3:0

Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds

03.05.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Tokyo Verdy 2:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

03.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 4:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka 1:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Mito HollyHock - Gamba Osaka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
2	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
3	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
4	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
6	Kyoto	26	14	6	6	43:30	13	48
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	26	8	6	12	29:37	-8	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League