Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/484) | 85% (406/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (411/484) | 85% (406/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 38% (17/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (173/218) | 77% (96/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.56 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Komori H. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
- 55', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
- 63', Yamashita R. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
- 63', Welton ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 63', Nakajima S. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
- 65', Gustafson S. 🟨,
- 71', Sekine T. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
- 71', Gustafson S. ↓, Shibato K. ↑,
- 75', Hummet D. ↓, Jebali I. ↑,
- 75', Usami T. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 82', Kaneko T. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 0, Abe S. ⚽,
- 86', Kiese I. 🟨,
- 88', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kurokawa K. ↑,
- 90+4', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka 43.9% | Draw 27.5% | Urawa Red Diamonds 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↓ (2.38) |
3.42 ↑ (3.35) |
3.27 ↑ (3.09) |
5.4% (4.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Urawa will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
- Recent performances by Gamba Osaka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Urawa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Urawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Urawa: Matheus Savio
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Higashiguchi M.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Gamba Osaka has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Gamba Osaka?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Urawa Red Diamonds were as follows:
06.05.2025
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
28.01.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:4
14.09.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
20.04.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
24.09.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:3
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League