Result
0:1
06/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 2.08 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
86% (500/582) | 78% (294/378) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 2.08 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.00 | 1.41 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (500/582) | 78% (294/378) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (21/47) | 33% (19/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (104/153) | 66% (69/105) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (4/13) | 24% (4/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.17 | 1.11 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
4 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 57% (12/21) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.41 | 0.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.51 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Nishikawa S. ↓, Niekawa A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Meshino R. (A),
- 68', Naganuma Y. ↓, Ogiwara T. ↑,
- 68', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
- 68', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
- 74', Meshino R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 74', Kurokawa K. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
- 78', Ogiwara T. 🟨,
- 79', Ishihara H. ↓, Takahashi T. ↑,
- 79', Mitsuta M. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 84', Yamashita R. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 84', Usami T. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Urawa Red Diamonds 42.6% | Draw 28.6% | Gamba Osaka 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.2 ↑ (2.07) |
3.27 ↓ (3.36) |
3.28 ↓ (3.57) |
6.5% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
Urawa Red Diamonds will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4.
- Urawa has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Urawa has had a series of home games.
- Urawa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Welton
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Urawa Red Diamonds won against Gamba Osaka?
Urawa Red Diamonds has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Urawa Red Diamonds?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
28.01.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
2:4
14.09.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
0:1
20.04.2024
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
24.09.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Urawa Red Diamonds
1:3
10.09.2023
Urawa Red Diamonds
-
Gamba Osaka
3:0
Latest results of Urawa Red Diamonds
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League