Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/351) | 77% (345/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (255/351) | 77% (345/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 49% (38/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 60% (74/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Peersman M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Barkas V. ↓, Brouwer M. ↑,
- 46', van den Berg D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 55', Taha Y. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Rente M. ⚽, Resink S. (A),
- 76', Viergever N. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
- 76', Blake A. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 77', van der Werff D. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 80', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 86', Taha Y. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 88', Zawada O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Resink S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
53.1% | Draw
26.2% | Groningen
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Utrecht - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.73) |
3.64 ↓
(4.1) |
4.52 ↑
(4.49) |
4.7%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Groningen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
- Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Groningen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jensen V.
(Thigh Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Groningen were as follows:
13.04.2025
Utrecht
-
Groningen
3:1
20.10.2024
Groningen
-
Utrecht
0:1
07.04.2023
Groningen
-
Utrecht
1:2
23.12.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:3
06.11.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
2:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:6 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Sittard | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Heracles | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7:27 | -20 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
