Groningen vs Utrecht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Euroborg (Groningen).

Eredivisie - Round 23
Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.78	2.44
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	7
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	8
Passes
80% (337/419)	82% (370/451)
Yellow cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.78	2.44
xG on target (xGOT)
0.70	2.09
Total shots
11	15
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
2	6
Shots inside the box
4	12
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
0	3
Corner kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
21	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
6	12
Passes
80% (337/419)	82% (370/451)
Long passes
57% (26/46)	56% (37/66)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)	66% (77/116)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	1.44
Throw ins
22	15
Fouls
12	6
Tackles
57% (13/23)	58% (11/19)
Duels won
49	46
Clearances
32	23
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	1
xGOT faced
2.09	0.70
Goals prevented
0.09	-0.30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Zechiel G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Taha Y. ⚽, Mercera T. (A),
62', Alarcon A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
73', Cathline Y. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
73', Stepanov A. ↓, Min D. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, de Wit D. ⚽, Zechiel G. (A),
79', van der Werff D. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
85', Peersman M. ↓, Prins W. ↑,
85', van Bergen T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
86', Land T. ↓, Hernes T. ↑,
86', Engwanda A. ↓, Agougil O. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Karlsson J. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Groningen
48.5%

Draw
27.5%

Utrecht
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.8%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

23.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Groningen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utrecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Groningen - Utrecht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.44 ↑ (3.35)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	5.5% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Groningen - Utrecht?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Groningen will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Groningen (votes: 1 - 50%). Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 2.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Groningen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Groningen: Seuntjens M. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M. (Injury) Haller S. (Ribs Injury) Horemans S. (Inactive) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Min D. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Groningen: de Jonge T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Groningen won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Groningen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?

Groningen has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?

Utrecht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Groningen - Utrecht were as follows:

14.09.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 0:1

13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1

20.10.2024 Groningen - Utrecht 0:1

07.04.2023 Groningen - Utrecht 1:2

23.12.2022 Utrecht - Groningen 0:3

Latest results of Groningen

08.02.2026 Groningen - PSV Eindhoven 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 2:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Groningen - Fortuna Sittard 1:2 ✺

18.01.2026 Heerenveen - Groningen 0:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Groningen - NAC Breda 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Utrecht

11.02.2026 NEC Nijmegen - Utrecht 1:3 ✺

08.02.2026 Utrecht - Feyenoord 0:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Heerenveen - Utrecht 1:1 ✺

29.01.2026 Celtic - Utrecht 4:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Utrecht - Sparta Rotterdam 0:1 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	25	21	2	2	73:30	43	65
2	Feyenoord	25	15	3	7	55:35	20	48
3	Ajax	25	11	11	3	47:31	16	44
4	Nijmegen	25	12	7	6	61:43	18	43
5	Twente	25	10	11	4	41:26	15	41
6	AZ Alkmaar	25	11	6	8	42:40	2	39
7	Sparta Rotterdam	25	11	4	10	32:42	-10	37
8	Utrecht	25	9	7	9	38:31	7	34
9	Heerenveen	25	9	7	9	42:43	-1	34
10	Sittard	25	9	5	11	39:45	-6	32
11	Groningen	25	9	4	12	33:35	-2	31
12	G.A. Eagles	25	6	11	8	38:39	-1	29
13	Zwolle	25	7	7	11	34:50	-16	28
14	FC Volendam	25	7	6	12	29:41	-12	27
15	Excelsior	25	7	5	13	26:42	-16	26
16	NAC Breda	25	5	7	13	25:39	-14	22
17	Telstar	25	4	9	12	31:41	-10	21
18	Heracles	25	5	2	18	32:65	-33	17

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie