Result
3:1
13/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 29
- Referee: van de Graaf E. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (262/363) | 83% (479/575) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (262/363) | 83% (479/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (30/73) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (53/100) | 71% (107/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, El Karouani S. ⚽,
- 10', Resink S. 🟨,
- 17', 2 - 0, Cathline Y. ⚽, van der Hoorn M. (A),
- 18', van Bergen T. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 1, Resink S. ⚽,
- 34', Engwanda A. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 1, Haller S. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', de Jonge T. ↓, Bacuna L. ↑,
- 59', van der Hoorn M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
- 66', Seuntjens M. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
- 66', Kwakman D. ↓, Schreuders J. ↑,
- 76', Rente M. ↓, Stam F. ↑,
- 76', van Bergen T. ↓, Willumsson B. ↑,
- 76', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 85', Haller S. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
- 86', Aaronson P. ↓, Jensen V. ↑,
- 86', Rodriguez M. ↓, Toornstra J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
54.7% | Draw
24.7% | Groningen
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Utrecht's form might have worsened.Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Utrecht - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.43) |
3.85 ↓
(4.51) |
4.6 ↓
(6.94) |
5.5%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Groningen?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Groningen will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 56% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Groningen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 3.
- Utrecht is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Groningen is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Utrecht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Utrecht is a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Bozdogan C.
(Injury)
Iqbal Z.
(Knee Injury)
Van Hees R.
(Knee Injury)
Vesterlund N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Bouland S.
(Injury)
Mariani M.
(Injury)
Turay F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Groningen: Prins W.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Utrecht won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:25 (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Utrecht won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?
Utrecht has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Groningen were as follows:
20.10.2024
Groningen
-
Utrecht
0:1
07.04.2023
Groningen
-
Utrecht
1:2
23.12.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:3
06.11.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
2:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nijmegen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Groningen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | G.A. Eagles | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Volendam | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Sittard | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Twente | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 18 | Heracles | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
