Utrecht vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Utrecht - Groningen
Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 5
  • Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.58
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
73% (255/351)77% (345/450)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.71
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1319
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
169
Passes
73% (255/351)77% (345/450)
Long passes
41% (26/63)49% (38/78)
Passes in final third
55% (43/78)60% (74/123)
Crosses
37% (7/19)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.04
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
916
Tackles
58% (7/12)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5865
Clearances
2426
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.710.51
Goals prevented
0.710.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Peersman M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Barkas V. , Brouwer M. ,
  • 46', van den Berg D. , Haller S. ,
  • 55', Taha Y. 🟨,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Rente M. , Resink S. (A),
  • 76', Viergever N. , Murkin D. ,
  • 76', Blake A. , Jonathans M. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez M. , Bozdogan C. ,
  • 77', van der Werff D. , Land T. ,
  • 80', Rente M. , Mercera T. ,
  • 86', Taha Y. , Zawada O. ,
  • 88', Zawada O. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Resink S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Utrecht
53.1%
Draw
26.2%
Groningen
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 23.3% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 22.5% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Utrecht - Groningen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.73)
    3.64
    (4.1)
    4.52
    (4.49)
    4.7%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Utrecht - Groningen?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
    • Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Groningen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y. (Inactive) El Arguioui R. (Knee Injury) Jensen V. (Thigh Injury) de Wit D. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Groningen were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Utrecht - Groningen 3:1
    20.10.2024 Groningen - Utrecht 0:1
    07.04.2023 Groningen - Utrecht 1:2
    23.12.2022 Utrecht - Groningen 0:3
    06.11.2022 Utrecht - Groningen 2:1
    Latest results of Utrecht
    31.08.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 0:2
    28.08.2025 Utrecht - Zrinjski Mostar 0:0
    24.08.2025 Utrecht - Excelsior 4:1
    21.08.2025 Zrinjski Mostar - Utrecht 0:2
    17.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Utrecht 2:1
    Latest results of Groningen
    23.08.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Groningen 4:2
    16.08.2025 Groningen - Heerenveen 2:1
    10.08.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Groningen 4:1
    19.07.2025 Groningen - NEC Nijmegen 1:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord981025:61925
    2PSV971127:121522
    3AZ Alkmaar953119:12718
    4Ajax944117:12516
    5Groningen950414:13115
    6Nijmegen942325:17814
    7Twente942317:14314
    8Utrecht941418:11713
    9Sittard941413:13013
    10Sparta Rotterdam941413:22-913
    11Heerenveen933315:15012
    12G.A. Eagles924315:16-110
    13Excelsior93068:17-99
    14NAC Breda922510:16-68
    15Zwolle92259:17-88
    16Telstar921612:18-67
    17FC Volendam914410:16-67
    18Heracles91087:27-203

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