Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
73% (255/351) | 77% (345/450) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.26 | 1.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.51 | 1.71 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
73% (255/351) | 77% (345/450) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (26/63) | 49% (38/78) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (43/78) | 60% (74/123) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.85 | 1.04 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 68% (15/22) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 65 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.71 | 0.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.71 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Peersman M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Barkas V. ↓, Brouwer M. ↑,
- 46', van den Berg D. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 55', Taha Y. 🟨,
- 70', 0 - 1, Rente M. ⚽, Resink S. (A),
- 76', Viergever N. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
- 76', Blake A. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez M. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 77', van der Werff D. ↓, Land T. ↑,
- 80', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
- 86', Taha Y. ↓, Zawada O. ↑,
- 88', Zawada O. 🟨,
- 90+2', Resink S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Utrecht 53.1% | Draw 26.2% | Groningen 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Groningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Utrecht - Groningen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.82 ↑ (1.73) |
3.64 ↓ (4.1) |
4.52 ↑ (4.49) |
4.7% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Groningen?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Utrecht will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
- Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Groningen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Cathline Y.
(Inactive)
El Arguioui R.
(Knee Injury)
Jensen V.
(Thigh Injury)
de Wit D.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Groningen: Emeran N.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Utrecht: Didden M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Groningen?
Utrecht has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Groningen won against Utrecht?
Groningen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Groningen were as follows:
13.04.2025
Utrecht
-
Groningen
3:1
20.10.2024
Groningen
-
Utrecht
0:1
07.04.2023
Groningen
-
Utrecht
1:2
23.12.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
0:3
06.11.2022
Utrecht
-
Groningen
2:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Groningen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Feyenoord | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 19 |
2 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 16 |
3 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Nijmegen | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 12 |
6 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Utrecht | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 10 |
8 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Sittard | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
10 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:19 | -11 | 9 |
12 | FC Volendam | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Telstar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
16 | Heerenveen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Excelsior | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
18 | Heracles | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie