Valentin Royer vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1212
Double Faults
35
1st serve percentage
60%56%
1st serve points won
73% (44/60)65% (35/54)
2nd serve points won
57% (23/40)60% (26/43)
Break Points Saved
3/44/6
1st return points won
35% (19/54)33% (20/60)
2nd return points won
40% (17/43)43% (17/40)
Break Points Converted
2/61/4
Winners
3532
Unforced errors
2639
Net points won
80% (16/20)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
67% (67/100)63% (61/97)
Return Points Won
37% (36/97)33% (33/100)
Total Points Won
52% (103/197)48% (94/197)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
93% (14/15)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)7% (1/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Valentin Royer
60.5%
Joel Schwaerzler
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.5)

    2.37
    (2.45)
    6.5%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Valentin Royer - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Schwaerzler will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Schwaerzler: 40%93.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Royer is ranked ATP: 76. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 173.
    • Royer has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Schwaerzler is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Royer might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Royer will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Valentin Royer
    Latest results of Joel Schwaerzler