Result
0:2
19/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 5
- Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/322) | 83% (434/524) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (242/322) | 83% (434/524) |
| Long passes |
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| 49% (29/59) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (66/103) | 70% (97/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.82 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Ranger L. 🟨,
- 45', Lange C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Ambina F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ambina F. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
- 46', Kitolano E. ↓, Nyheim G. ↑,
- 79', Grundetjern M. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
- 79', Olsen T. ↓, Arierhi K. ↑,
- 79', Felix Va ↓, Jebara C. ↑,
- 80', Sjatil H. ↓, Hedenstad V. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Ibrahimaj Y. (A),
- 87', Paintsil Y. ↓, Ottesen S. ↑,
- 90', Karlsbakk M. 🟨,
- 90', Haren L. ↓, Strand P. ↑,
- 90+1', Westergaard M. ↓, Holm O. T. ↑,
- 90+6', Drammeh S. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
- 90+10', Nyheim G. 🟨,
- 90+11', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
- 90+11', Olsen A. 🟨,
- 90+14', 0 - 2, Arierhi K. ⚽, Nyheim G. (A),
- 90+14', Dahlberg P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vålerenga 37.4% | Draw 25.9% | Lillestrøm SK 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lillestrøm SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Vålerenga - Lillestrøm SK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.45) |
3.67 ↓ (3.83) |
2.6 ↓ (2.64) |
5.4% (4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vålerenga - Lillestrøm SK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vålerenga will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 1.
- Vålerenga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lillestrøm has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Lillestrøm has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Vålerenga: Ofkir M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lillestrøm: Elkaer F.
(Knee Injury)
Waehler M.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B.
(Injury)
Krygard K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Vålerenga won against Lillestrøm SK?
Vålerenga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lillestrøm SK won against Vålerenga?
Lillestrøm SK has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vålerenga - Lillestrøm SK were as follows:
22.10.2023
Lillestrøm SK
-
Vålerenga
2:0
01.05.2023
Vålerenga
-
Lillestrøm SK
3:4
04.09.2022
Vålerenga
-
Lillestrøm SK
3:1
Latest results of Vålerenga
Latest results of Lillestrøm SK
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Viking | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 13 | 18 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | HamKam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brann | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Kristiansund | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Start | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen