Result
3:1 ET
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Trophy - Quarter-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Rafael Compri 🟨,
- 43', Mendoza J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rafael Compri ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Yankam Y. ⚽,
- 66', Attard S. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
- 66', Eleke B. ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
- 66', Bulevardi D. ↓, Jonny ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, El Fanis M. ⚽,
- 72', Yuri ↓, Adebayo A. ↑,
- 83', Zammit A. ↓, Meijer S. ↑,
- 84', Mendoza J. ↓, Paiber B. ↑,
- 90+3', Azzopardi J. 🟨,
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 93', Polito V. 🟨,
- 95', Maringa Adilson 🟨,
- 115', 2 - 1, Meijer S. ⚽,
- 120+8', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Valletta 23.1% | Draw 29.5% | Hamrun Spartans 47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valletta's form might have worsened.Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamrun Spartans's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valletta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamrun Spartans than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamrun Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Valletta - Hamrun Spartans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.92 ↑ (2.55) |
3.07 ↓ (3.2) |
1.91 ↓ (2.45) |
10.4% (11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Valletta - Hamrun Spartans?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Hamrun (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Valletta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Valletta has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Hamrun has had a series of home games.
- Hamrun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Valletta won against Hamrun Spartans?
Valletta has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamrun Spartans won against Valletta?
Hamrun Spartans has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valletta - Hamrun Spartans were as follows:
24.01.2026
Valletta
-
Hamrun Spartans
0:0
22.11.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Valletta
1:0
31.08.2025
Hamrun Spartans
-
Valletta
1:1
02.03.2024
Hamrun Spartans
-
Valletta
1:1
28.10.2023
Valletta
-
Hamrun Spartans
1:2
Latest results of Valletta
Latest results of Hamrun Spartans
Draw
2025/261/32-finals| 1 | Tarxien | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Ghajnsielem | |
| 3 | Pembroke | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Valletta | |
| 5 | Hamrun | Bye | |
| 6 | Victoria Hotspurs | Xaghra | 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Fgura | Bye | |
| 8 | Sirens | Santa Lucia | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Birkirkara | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Victoria Wanderers | |
| 11 | Pieta | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Mtarfa | |
| 13 | Floriana | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Marsaxlokk | |
| 15 | Zabbar | Bye | |
| 16 | Melita | Xewkija | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | St. Andrews | Vittoriosa | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Bye | Gzira | |
| 19 | Hibernians | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Gudja | |
| 21 | Zebbug | Qala Saints | 0 : 5 |
| 22 | Bye | Mgarr | |
| 23 | Mosta | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Mqabba FC | |
| 25 | Zurrieq | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Kercem Ajax | |
| 27 | Qormi | Balzan | 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Nadur | Birzebbuga | 1 : 4 |
| 29 | Sliema | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Swieqi | |
| 31 | Marsa | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Naxxar | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Tarxien | Ghajnsielem | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Pembroke | Valletta | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Hamrun | Victoria Hotspurs | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Fgura | Santa Lucia | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | Victoria Wanderers | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Pieta | Mtarfa | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Floriana | Marsaxlokk | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Zabbar | Xewkija | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | St. Andrews | Gzira | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Hibernians | Gudja | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Qala Saints | Mgarr | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Mosta | Mqabba FC | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Zurrieq | Kercem Ajax | 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Balzan | Birzebbuga | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Sliema | Swieqi | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Marsa | Naxxar | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tarxien | Valletta | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Hamrun | Fgura | 5 : 0 |
| 3 | Birkirkara | Pieta | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Floriana | Zabbar | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Gzira | Hibernians | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Mgarr | Mosta | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Zurrieq | Birzebbuga | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Swieqi | Naxxar | 2 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Valletta | Hamrun | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Birkirkara | Zabbar | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Gzira | Mosta | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | Naxxar | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Valletta | Birkirkara | |
| 2 | Gzira | Naxxar | |
Final