Valletta vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 19
  • Referee: Rizoski V. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
92
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
108
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
16
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Montero Y. ,
  • 6', Thaylor 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 2, Vitinho ,
  • 33', Vinicius Baiano 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 2, Adebayo A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Micallef N. , Ellul M. ,
  • 47', Rosiel 🟨,
  • 57', Montero Y. , Guehi S. ,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Adebayo A. ,
  • 59', 3 - 2, Yuri ,
  • 65', Debono M. 🟨,
  • 66', 4 - 2, Yuri (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', Fenech M. , Pace Cocks N. ,
  • 70', Pahama N. 🟨,
  • 74', Paiber B. , Mendoza J. ,
  • 82', Thaylor , Zammit A. ,
  • 85', Micallef M. , Gauci C. ,
  • 85', JP Iseppe , Kontchou C. ,
  • 85', Yankam Y. , Melillo T. ,
  • 85', Adebayo A. , Ewurum K. ,

Chances of winning


Valletta
59.9%
Draw
23.7%
Naxxar Lions
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 22.9% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 22.2% 14.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Valletta - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.46)
    3.82
    (3.95)
    5.53
    (5.9)
    10.3%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Valletta will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Valletta - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 0:1
    28.04.2024 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 4:0
    07.01.2024 Valletta - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Valletta
    24.01.2026 Valletta - Hamrun Spartans 0:0
    16.01.2026 Mosta - Valletta 0:5
    10.01.2026 Floriana - Valletta 0:0
    07.01.2026 Valletta - Birkirkara 2:0
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana ✔ 963017:51221
    2Hamrun ✔ 954012:21019
    3Marsaxlokk952210:10017
    4Gzira942312:10214
    5Naxxar942317:16114
    6Valletta934212:5713
    7Sliema93428:9-113
    8Birkirkara933310:7312
    9Hibernians932410:14-411
    10Zabbar ✔ 91357:11-46
    11Tarxien ✔ 91267:17-105
    12Mosta ✔ 90182:18-161

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
          Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
    Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
    Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
    Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
    Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )