Naxxar Lions vs Valletta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Naxxar Lions - Valletta
Result
0:1
05/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
14
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Rosiel 🟨,
  • 38', Guehi S. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Mbende E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Naxxar Lions
16.7%
Draw
23.3%
Valletta
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 24.5% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 23.8% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Naxxar Lions - Valletta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.5
    (4.71)
    3.94
    (3.7)
    1.53
    (1.62)
    8.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Valletta?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Valletta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
    • Naxxar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Valletta is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Naxxar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Valletta is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Valletta were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Naxxar Lions - Valletta 4:0
    07.01.2024 Valletta - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Latest results of Valletta
    24.09.2025 Valletta - Mosta 4:1
    16.09.2025 Floriana - Valletta 0:2
    12.09.2025 Valletta - Marsaxlokk 3:1
    Maltese Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana971114:6822
    2Valletta963015:51021
    3Hamrun944110:5516
    4Sliema943211:10115
    5Hibernians942316:13314
    6Marsaxlokk942311:9214
    7Birkirkara93428:6213
    8Gzira923411:16-59
    9Zabbar91449:13-47
    10Naxxar91269:13-45
    11Tarxien91268:16-85
    12Mosta91269:19-105

          Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
          Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )