Result
05/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions
14.7% | Draw
23.2% | Valletta
62.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Valletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valletta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Naxxar Lions - Valletta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.17 ↑
(4.71) |
3.9 ↑
(3.7) |
1.46 ↓
(1.62) |
10.6%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
- Naxxar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Valletta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Valletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Naxxar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Valletta is the team to beat.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Valletta?
Naxxar Lions has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Valletta won against Naxxar Lions?
Valletta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Valletta were as follows:
28.04.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Valletta
4:0
07.01.2024
Valletta
-
Naxxar Lions
1:2
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Latest results of Valletta
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Valletta | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Hibernians | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Gzira | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 11 | Naxxar | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
