Flora Tallinn vs Valur – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Flora Tallinn - Valur
Result
1:2
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
estoniaEstoniaSoccernet TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
55
Corner Kicks
41
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1917
Throw-ins
3416
Fouls
1116
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
  • 27', Poom M. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Haraldsson T. ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Sappinen R. , Poom M. (A),
  • 42', Omarsson O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Tovstik S. 🟨,
  • 67', Haraldsson T. , Heimisson L. ,
  • 67', Zenjov S. , Lepik M. ,
  • 67', Mihhailov N. , Kuraksin D. ,
  • 67', Sigurdsson K. , Skoglund A. ,
  • 71', Sappinen R. 🟨,
  • 76', Larusson S. , Palsson J. ,
  • 76', Palsson A. , Kjartansson O. ,
  • 79', Tovstik S. , Lukka M. ,
  • 82', Schram F. , Agustsson S. ,
  • 90+1', Heimisson L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Jonsson J. ,
  • 90+7', Teevali T. , Kalimullin M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Flora Tallinn
29.9%
Draw
25.1%
Valur
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.1% 25.7% 42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 25.4% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Flora Tallinn - Valur Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (2.88)
    3.67
    (3.59)
    2.08
    (2.19)
    8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Flora Tallinn - Valur?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Valur will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 38.8%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 25%). Valur (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
    • Flora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Valur is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Valur will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Flora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Flora Tallinn - Valur were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Valur - Flora Tallinn 3:0
    Latest results of Flora Tallinn
    Latest results of Valur
    10.07.2025 Valur - Flora Tallinn 3:0
    05.07.2025 Vestri - Valur 0:2
    01.07.2025 Valur - Stjarnan 3:1
    27.06.2025 KA Akureyri - Valur 0:2
    23.06.2025 Valur - KR Reykjavík 6:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Dundee UtdBye
    2ByeUNA Strassen
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    4ByePrishtina
    5KosiceBye
    6UrartuNeman0 : 4, 1 : 2
    7VaduzBye
    8ByeDungannon
    9SilkeborgBye
    10ByeKA Akureyri
    11RosenborgBye
    12ByeBanga
    13Atletic EscaldesDudelange3 : 2, 2 : 0
    14ByeDinamo Tirana
    15Austria ViennaBye
    16ByeSpaeri
    17FC BallkaniBye
    18FlorianaHaverfordwest3 : 2, 2 : 1
    19VikingBye
    20ZeljeznicarKoper1 : 3, 1 : 1
    21AEK Athens FCBye
    22ByeH. Beer Sheva
    23Tre FioriPyunik Yerevan0 : 5, 1 : 0
    24ByeGyor
    25Riga FCBye
    26Racing LuxembourgDila Gori0 : 1, 1 : 2
    27RakowBye
    28ByeZilina
    29BirkirkaraPetrocub0 : 3, 1 : 0
    30ByeSabah Baku
    31Ararat-ArmeniaBye
    32ByeU. Cluj
    33VarazdinBye
    34ByeSanta Clara
    35Kauno ZalgirisPenybont1 : 1, 3 : 0
    36ValurFlora2 : 1, 3 : 0
    37PaksBye
    38ByeMaribor
    39VllazniaBFC Daugavpils4 : 2, 0 : 1
    40MalishevaVikingur Reykjavik0 : 8, 0 : 1
    41HammarbyBye
    42ByeCharleroi
    43Radnicki 1923Bye
    44SJKKlaksvik0 : 2, 1 : 2
    45Novi PazarBye
    46ByeJagiellonia
    47Polissya ZhytomyrBye
    48Borac Banja LukaFC Santa Coloma2 : 0, 1 : 4
    49La FioritaVardar2 : 2, 0 : 3
    50ByeLausanne
    51HB TorshavnBye
    52ByeBrondby
    53OleksandriyaBye
    54ByePartizan
    55HiberniansBye
    56ByeTrnava
    57St. PatricksHegelmann2 : 0, 1 : 0
    58KaljuPartizani1 : 0, 1 : 1
    59AIKBye
    60MagpiesPaide1 : 4, 2 : 3
    61FK SarajevoBye
    62ByeUniv. Craiova
    63ArisBye
    64ByePuskas Academy
    65St JosephsCliftonville3 : 2, 2 : 2
    66ByeShamrock Rovers
    67IlvesBye
    68ByeAZ Alkmaar
    69ZiraBye
    70ByeHajduk Split
    71ArdaBye
    72NSI RunavikHJK0 : 5, 4 : 0
    73AktobeBye
    74ByeSparta Prague
    75Zimbru ChisinauBye
    76ByeFC Astana
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    100ByeInter Escaldes
    101BuducnostBye
    102ByeMilsami
    103Din. MinskBye
    104ByeEgnatia

    Quarter-finals
    1Dundee UtdUNA Strassen
    2LarnePrishtina
    3KosiceNeman
    4VaduzDungannon
    5SilkeborgKA Akureyri
    6RosenborgBanga
    7Atletic EscaldesDinamo Tirana
    8Austria ViennaSpaeri
    9FC BallkaniFloriana
    10VikingKoper
    11AEK Athens FCH. Beer Sheva
    12Pyunik YerevanGyor
    13Riga FCDila Gori
    14RakowZilina
    15PetrocubSabah Baku
    16Ararat-ArmeniaU. Cluj
    17VarazdinSanta Clara
    18Kauno ZalgirisValur
    19PaksMaribor
    20VllazniaVikingur Reykjavik
    21HammarbyCharleroi
    22Radnicki 1923Klaksvik
    23Novi PazarJagiellonia
    24Polissya ZhytomyrFC Santa Coloma
    25VardarLausanne
    26HB TorshavnBrondby
    27OleksandriyaPartizan
    28HiberniansTrnava
    29St. PatricksKalju
    30AIKPaide
    31FK SarajevoUniv. Craiova
    32ArisPuskas Academy
    33St JosephsShamrock Rovers
    34IlvesAZ Alkmaar
    35ZiraHajduk Split
    36ArdaHJK
    37AktobeSparta Prague
    38Zimbru ChisinauFC Astana
    39DecicSK Rapid
    40ZhodinoMaccabi Haifa
    41ArazAris
    42OmoniaTorpedo Kutaisi
    43Cherno MoreBasaksehir
    44SutjeskaBeitar Jerusalem
    45VikingurBye
    46VirtusBye
    47LevadiaIberia 1999
    48ZalgirisLinfield
    49TNSDifferdange
    50O. LjubljanaInter Escaldes
    51BuducnostMilsami
    52Din. MinskEgnatia