Result
4:0
27/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Sen A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (386/440) | 78% (212/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.51 | 0.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (386/440) | 78% (212/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (28/40) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (60/88) | 66% (46/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.09 | 2.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', Durmushan U. 🟨,
- 32', Aksoy D. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Bikoue ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Bars E. ⚽, Jefferson (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 54', Secgin E. ↓, Destici S. ↑,
- 58', Aydemir E. ↓, Guler E. ↑,
- 62', Sarka B. 🟨,
- 67', 3 - 0, Bingol M. ⚽,
- 69', Bars E. ↓, Xesc ↑,
- 81', Bingol M. ↓, Usta G. ↑,
- 81', Ozcan M. ↓, Coksu M. ↑,
- 81', Jefferson 🟨,
- 82', Jefferson ↓, Yildrim A. ↑,
- 84', Yildiz A. ↓, Uzel B. ↑,
- 90', Durmushan U. ↓, Abdulkadir A. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 0, Coksu M. ⚽, Bikoue (A),
Chances of winning
Vanspor
79.4% | Draw
13.4% | Hatayspor
7.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hatayspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Vanspor - Hatayspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.32) |
6.91 ↑
(5.34) |
12.97 ↑
(7.58) |
8.7%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Vanspor - Hatayspor?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -3.5 - Vanspor (4.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vanspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Vanspor is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Vanspor: Dikmen E.
(Muscle Injury)
Genc F. C.
(Suspended)
Kesici T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Demir C.
(Suspended)
Temel S.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Hatayspor: Saglam G.
(Injury)
Yildiz A.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Hatayspor?
Vanspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Vanspor?
Hatayspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vanspor - Hatayspor were as follows:
Latest results of Vanspor
Latest results of Hatayspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
