Result
3:1
01/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (267/330) | 84% (308/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (267/330) | 84% (308/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 61% (22/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (56/93) | 77% (89/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.95 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Xesc 🟨,
- 44', Azrak Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', Traore A. 🟨,
- 55', Coksu M. ↓, Genc F. C. ↑,
- 63', Yildiz A. ↓, Sen M. ↑,
- 63', Aydin S. M. ↓, Aksu C. B. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Durmushan U. ⚽, Gazanfer S. (A),
- 68', Aksu C. B. 🟨,
- 69', Yildrim A. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
- 70', Daduk E. 🟨,
- 72', Yilmaz C. ↓, Aksoy D. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 0, Azrak Y. ⚽, Arslan E. (A),
- 75', Hostikka S. 🟨,
- 86', 3 - 0, Arslan E. ⚽, Gonulacar M. (A),
- 87', Arslan E. ↓, Chaadaev R. ↑,
- 88', Azrak Y. ↓, Aydemir E. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Hostikka S. ⚽, Xesc (A),
Chances of winning
Hatayspor
10.3% | Draw
16.3% | Vanspor
73.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-18%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vanspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hatayspor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.58 ↑
(8.45) |
5.64 ↑
(5.2) |
1.26 ↓
(1.3) |
8.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Vanspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 4 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Hatayspor is Relegated to
- Hatayspor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Vanspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Vanspor is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Hatayspor: Bamgboye F.
(Inactive)
Massanga Matondo
(Inactive)
Osman S.
(Yellow Cards)
Ozgun T.
(Suspended)
Vatansever B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Vanspor: Bikoue
(Injury)
Mamah K.
(Groin Injury)
Oulare N.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Vanspor: Destici S.
(Ribs Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hatayspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Vanspor?
Hatayspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Hatayspor?
Vanspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Vanspor were as follows:
27.12.2025
Vanspor
-
Hatayspor
4:0
Latest results of Hatayspor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
