Result
3:1
22/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 14
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (448/503) | 87% (414/476) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (448/503) | 87% (414/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 56% (25/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (94/123) | 73% (66/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Dominguez S. ⚽, Zajc M. (A),
- 35', Ba L. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, Hoxha A. ⚽, Lisica M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Belcar L. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 46', Mamut I. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Hoxha A. ⚽, Zajc M. (A),
- 62', Jovanov V. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 62', Latkovic A. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
- 65', Bakrar M. ↓, Beljo D. ↑,
- 65', Zajc M. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
- 70', Lisica M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
- 70', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
- 80', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 81', Duvnjak T. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Skaricic L. ⚽, Tepsic N. (A),
- 88', Misic J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Beljo D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dinamo Zagreb
70% | Draw
19% | Varaždin
11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.38) |
4.96 ↑
(4.65) |
8.35 ↑
(7.3) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Varaždin will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
Valincic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Zivkovic M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
Mladenovski M.
(Inactive)
Puncec R.
(Inactive)
Tavares I.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 15 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 41:14. (average 2.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:6. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin were as follows:
30.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
25.05.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
30.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
22.12.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
06.10.2024
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24:23 | 1 | 25 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Rijeka | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 8 | Gorica | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 18 |
| 9 | Osijek | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16:30 | -14 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
