Result
0:4
22/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (257/342) | 84% (444/528) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (257/342) | 84% (444/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (27/60) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 69% (93/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.07 | 1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Vuk M. 🟨,
- 27', Beljo D. 🟨,
- 31', Borsic A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Hoxha A. ↓, Stojkovic L. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 1, Zajc M. ⚽, Vidovic G. (A),
- 53', 0 - 2, Zajc M. ⚽, Stojkovic L. (A),
- 57', 0 - 3, Bakrar M. ⚽, Goda B. (A),
- 58', Marina M. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 59', Vuk M. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
- 72', Borsic A. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
- 72', Latkovic A. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 75', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
- 75', Bakrar M. ↓, Topic F. ↑,
- 78', Mamut I. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
- 84', Vidovic G. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 87', Misic J. ↓, Sunta S. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 4, Soldo M. ⚽, Sunta S. (A),
Chances of winning
Varaždin
18.2% | Draw
24.5% | Dinamo Zagreb
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Zagreb could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.15 ↓
(5.45) |
3.84 ↓
(4.29) |
1.62 ↑
(1.53) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 0.
- Varaždin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Varaždin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I.
(Injury)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Ilinkovic S.
(Injury)
Skaricic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:43. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:20. (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 9 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
22.11.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:1
30.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
2:2
25.05.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
30.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
22.12.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 56:19 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36:21 | 15 | 47 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:25 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Slaven Belupo | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | -6 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29:37 | -8 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 27:36 | -9 | 26 |
| 9 | Osijek | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:36 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 26:43 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
