Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 5
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/328) | 79% (359/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/328) | 79% (359/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (15/61) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/93) | 62% (79/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 47% (7/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Lisica M. ⚽,
- 25', Stojkovic L. 🟨,
- 45', Jovanov V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Belcar L. ↓, Abdullazada R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Latkovic A. ⚽, Abdullazada R. (A),
- 65', Stojkovic L. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
- 65', Beljo D. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
- 65', Vidovic G. ↓, Hoxha A. ↑,
- 67', Villar G. 🟨,
- 71', Mamut I. 🟨,
- 72', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 73', Latkovic A. ↓, Mamic L. ↑,
- 73', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 73', Ba L. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 76', Lisica M. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Borsic A. ⚽, Dabro M. (A),
- 84', Ljubicic D. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
- 85', Tavares I. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
- 90+1', Jovanov V. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 2, Kulenovic S. (Pen),
- 90+5', Zelenika O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
12.8% | Draw
23.5% | Dinamo Zagreb
63.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.51 ↑
(6.82) |
4.02 ↓
(4.27) |
1.5 ↑
(1.45) |
4.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 0.
- Varaždin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dinamo Zagreb is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Dinamo Zagreb is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Bockaj P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Galesic N.
(Inactive)
Pierre-Gabriel R.
(Inactive)
Torrente R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 13:39. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dinamo Zagreb won against Varaždin?
Dinamo Zagreb has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb were as follows:
25.05.2025
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
1:0
30.03.2025
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
1:1
22.12.2024
Dinamo Zagreb
-
Varaždin
3:2
06.10.2024
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
27.04.2024
Varaždin
-
Dinamo Zagreb
0:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Slaven Belupo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
