Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 26
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (234/334) | 76% (298/394) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (234/334) | 76% (298/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (31/73) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (43/84) | 56% (58/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.46 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Puncec R. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Skaricic L. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Spoljaric J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 46', Caic V. ↓, Cabrajic K. ↑,
- 46', Ticinovic M. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
- 48', Puljic J. 🟨,
- 53', Pavicic K. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
- 62', Juric S. ↓, Tavares I. ↑,
- 72', Maglica F. 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 0, Latkovic A. ⚽,
- 77', Latkovic A. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 77', Canjuga I. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 78', Banovec L. 🟨,
- 87', Vuk M. ↓, Paizinho ↑,
- 87', Mamic L. ↓, Puclin D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
45.1% | Draw
28.2% | Vukovar 91
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Varaždin - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.98) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
3.52 ↓
(3.77) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varaždin will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Recent form of Varaždin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vukovar 91 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vukovar 91 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Varaždin could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Barac M.
(Inactive)
Ilinkovic S.
(Injury)
Mamut I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Biljan J.
(Inactive)
Shabani E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Varaždin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Vukovar 91?
Varaždin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Varaždin?
Vukovar 91 has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
12.12.2025
Vukovar 91
-
Varaždin
2:0
26.09.2025
Varaždin
-
Vukovar 91
2:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:22 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 37 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Gorica | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 9 | Osijek | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
