Result
2:1
26/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 8
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (456/547) | 67% (191/287) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (456/547) | 67% (191/287) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 37% (19/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (116/163) | 51% (37/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 46% (12/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Puljic J. ⚽, Camacho R. (A),
- 23', Rodrigues L. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Mamut I. (Pen),
- 33', Duvnjak T. ↓, Belcar L. ↑,
- 40', Pavicic K. 🟨,
- 45+9', 2 - 1, Belcar L. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Camacho R. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
- 64', Belcar L. 🟨,
- 65', Abdullazada R. ↓, Vuk M. ↑,
- 66', Mamut I. ↓, Dabro M. ↑,
- 66', Banovec L. ↓, Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↑,
- 73', Latkovic A. ↓, Mamic L. ↑,
- 73', Mladenovski M. ↓, Puncec R. ↑,
- 78', Rodrigues L. 🟨,
- 85', Shabani E. ↓, Koeberle S. ↑,
- 85', Gonzalez R. ↓, Tadic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
63.3% | Draw
22.1% | Vukovar 91
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Varaždin - Vukovar 91 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.47) |
4.22 ↑
(3.8) |
6.44 ↓
(6.79) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Vukovar 91?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- Varaždin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vukovar 91's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Varaždin is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A.
(Inactive)
Horvat M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Varaždin: Mamic D.
(Inactive)
Mamic L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Caic V.
(Injury)
Ticinovic M.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Vukovar 91?
Varaždin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vukovar 91 won against Varaždin?
Vukovar 91 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Vukovar 91 were as follows:
Latest results of Varaždin
Latest results of Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Gorica | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Rijeka | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Osijek | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
