Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Cominetti M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pavia
38% | Draw
29.2% | Varesina
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Varesina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pavia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varesina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pavia - Varesina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.15) |
3.1 ↑
(3.08) |
2.75 ↓
(3.2) |
10.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pavia - Varesina?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varesina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pavia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Pavia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pavia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Pavia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pavia won against Varesina?
Pavia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varesina won against Pavia?
Varesina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pavia - Varesina were as follows:
26.10.2025
Varesina
-
Pavia
2:2
Latest results of Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 46:20 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | AC Milan U23 | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 3 | Chievo | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 46 |
| 4 | Leon | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Villa Valle | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 38:28 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Scanzorosciate | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Brusaporto | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 40 |
| 10 | Caldiero Terme | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 39 |
| 11 | Oltrepo | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Castellanzese | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:38 | -1 | 36 |
| 14 | Breno | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 30 |
| 15 | Varesina | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 16 | Pavia | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 26:55 | -29 | 23 |
| 18 | Vogherese ✔ | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 18:48 | -30 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vogherese is Relegated to
