Result
4:0
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 3 |
Total shots |
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9 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 4 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 7', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
- 14', Chicao 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Pereira D. ↓, Arsenio ↑,
- 51', Oliveira R. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 70', Ribeiro S. ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 70', Castro D. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 71', Renato Luis ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 71', Rebelo M. ↓, Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↑,
- 71', Moshood M. ↓, Silva Nhaga I. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 80', Mesquita T. 🟨,
- 80', Monteiro J. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 81', Oliveira R. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 84', Araujo C. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
- 87', Ribeiro R. M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, Ribeiro R. M. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim 35.9% | Draw 32.8% | Lusitânia 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Varzim - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↓ (3.02) |
2.78 ↑ (2.57) |
2.92 ↑ (2.64) |
9.5% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2.
- Recent matches Varzim is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lusitânia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Lusitânia?
Varzim has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Varzim?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Lusitânia were as follows:
15.02.2025
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
2:0
30.11.2024
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
0:0
16.08.2024
Varzim
-
Lusitânia
1:0
07.04.2024
Varzim
-
Lusitânia
4:3
11.02.2024
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
1:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Draw
PromotionFinal1 | Pacos Ferreira | Os Belenenses | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |