Result
4:0
12/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 7', Ribeiro S. 🟨,
- 14', Chicao 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', Pereira D. ↓, Arsenio ↑,
- 51', Oliveira R. 🟨,
- 66', 3 - 0, Moshood M. ⚽,
- 70', Ribeiro S. ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 70', Castro D. ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 71', Renato Luis ↓, Mesquita T. ↑,
- 71', Rebelo M. ↓, Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↑,
- 71', Moshood M. ↓, Silva Nhaga I. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 80', Mesquita T. 🟨,
- 80', Monteiro J. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 81', Oliveira R. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 84', Araujo C. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
- 87', Ribeiro R. M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 0, Ribeiro R. M. ⚽,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varzim
35.9% | Draw
32.8% | Lusitânia
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varzim's performance.Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varzim that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Varzim - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(3.02) |
2.78 ↑
(2.57) |
2.92 ↑
(2.64) |
9.5%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2.
- Recent matches Varzim is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lusitânia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:5 (average 2.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Varzim won against Lusitânia?
Varzim has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Varzim?
Lusitânia has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varzim - Lusitânia were as follows:
15.02.2025
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
2:0
30.11.2024
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
0:0
16.08.2024
Varzim
-
Lusitânia
1:0
07.04.2024
Varzim
-
Lusitânia
4:3
11.02.2024
Lusitânia
-
Varzim
1:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Trofense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sanjoanense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Braga B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Paredes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Caldas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Amora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Mafra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 9 | Covilha | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
