Result
4:1
15/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 58', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 68', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atlético da Malveira 68.5% | Draw 20.1% | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético da Malveira's performance.Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético da Malveira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+4%)
Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.32 ↓ (1.51) |
4.51 ↑ (3.9) |
7.94 ↑ (5.67) |
10.3% (9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 13 in the zone Relegation).
- Malveira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vasco da Gama's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Malveira is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Malveira won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético da Malveira won against Vasco da Gama Vidigueira?
Atlético da Malveira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama Vidigueira won against Atlético da Malveira?
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético da Malveira - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira were as follows:
09.11.2025
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
-
Atlético da Malveira
1:1
Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
Latest results of Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to