Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2 penalties
11/09/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
69%31%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
45
Blocked Shots
80
Free Kicks
1514
Corner Kicks
71
Offsides
33
Throw-ins
188
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Fouls
1114
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
42
Total Passes
503190
Completed Passes
420132
Attacks
12062
Dangerous Attacks
8217

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Cuello , Esquivel L. (A),
  • 26', Kaique Rocha 🟨,
  • 28', Madson 🟨,
  • 30', Sforza J. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Zapelli B. , Cuello (A),
  • 42', Rayan Vitor 🟥,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. , Lucas Piton (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Payet D. , Rodriguez E. ,
  • 48', Zapelli B. 🟨,
  • 62', David , Leandrinho ,
  • 67', Zapelli B. , Joao Cruz ,
  • 69', Souza 🟨,
  • 77', Christian , Pablo ,
  • 77', Erick , Madson ,
  • 78', Thiago Heleno , Gamarra M. ,
  • 79', Lucas Piton , Mateus Carvalho ,
  • 79', Hugo Moura , Victor Luis ,
  • 90+2', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
  • 90+4', Paulo Henrique , Rodriguez J. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Pablo (Pen),
  • 1, Sforza J. (Pen),
  • 2, Gonzalo Mastriani (Pen),
  • 2, Rodriguez J. (Pen),
  • 3, Canobbio A. (Pen),
  • 3, Victor Luis (Pen),
  • 4, Madson (Pen),
  • 4, Mateus Carvalho (Pen),
  • 5, Joao Cruz (Pen),
  • 5, Vegetti P. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
55.1%
Draw
25.4%
Vasco da Gama
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.2% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 26.1% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.79)
    3.7
    (3.56)
    4.84
    (4.28)
    6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 2.
    • Athletico PR is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vasco is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Athletico PR is a favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
    29.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    26.08.2024 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    05.05.2024 Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama 1:0
    25.11.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama 0:0
    23.07.2023 Vasco da Gama - Athletico Paranaense 0:2
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1BarraBye
    3America MGBye
    4America SETirol1 : 2
    5IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    6ByeVolta Redonda
    7America RNBye
    8ByeGAS
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17ManauaraBye
    18ByeItabaiana
    19FortalezaBye
    20MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    21CastanhalBye
    22ByeGuarani
    23Nova IguacuBye
    24ByeLagarto
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33Sao LuizBye
    34ByeMaranhao
    35CearaBye
    36AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    37JoinvilleBye
    38ByeCSA
    39Sao BernardoBye
    40ByeAlagoinhas
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Ponte PretaBye
    51SER CaxiasBye
    52ByeGuarany de Bage
    53Operario VGBye
    54ByePorto Velho
    55Atletico GOBye
    56Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65BareMadureira0 : 3
    66ByeABC
    67Aguia De MarabaBye
    68ByeIndependencia
    69Tuna LusoBye
    70ByeTocantinopolis
    71JuventudeBye
    72GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81ImperatrizBye
    82ByeAmazonas
    83FigueirenseBye
    84ByeAzuriz
    85Santa CruzBye
    86ByeSousa
    87CRBBye
    88Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1BarraBye
    2America MGTirol
    3IvinhemaVolta Redonda
    4America RNGAS3 : 0
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9ManauaraItabaiana
    10FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    11CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    12Nova IguacuLagarto
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    18CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    19JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    20Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Ponte PretaBye
    26SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    27Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    28Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI
    33MadureiraABC1 : 0
    34Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    35Tuna LusoTocantinopolis
    36JuventudeGuapore
    37Capital FCManaus
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    42FigueirenseAzuriz1 : 0
    43Santa CruzSousa
    44CRBPorto-BA6 : 0
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana

    1/64-finals
    1BarraTBD #2
    2TBD #3America RN
    3TBD #5Anapolis
    4TBD #7Ypiranga FC
    5TBD #9Fortaleza
    6CastanhalTBD #12
    7TBD #13Jacuipense
    8MixtoNovorizontino
    9MaranhaoCeara
    10JoinvilleSao Bernardo
    11TBD #21Operario MS
    12ConfiancaTombense
    13Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage
    14Porto VelhoAtletico GO
    15Maringa FCUberlandia
    16GoiasTBD #32
    17MadureiraAguia De Maraba
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37Londrina
    20TBD #39Capital
    21AmazonasFigueirense
    22TBD #43CRB
    23PortuguesaTBD #46
    24Paysandu PATBD #48