Result
1:0
13/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/376) | 85% (446/524) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (299/376) | 85% (446/524) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 60% (27/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (60/103) | 76% (73/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Marcelino Moreno 🟨,
- 38', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, Carrera R. ⚽,
- 58', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 72', Salvio E. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 72', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 73', Rayan ↓, Adson ↑,
- 73', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
- 82', Coutinho ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 82', Tche Tche ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 83', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 87', Carrera R. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
- 87', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
- 88', Moreira N. ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 90', Mendez A. ↓, Munoz E. ↑,
- 90+1', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Orozco F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
54.2% | Draw
27.1% | Vasco da Gama
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Lanús - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
5.02 ↑
(4.1) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lanús - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vasco will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Lanús has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vasco has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lanús is considered a favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Lanús won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Vasco da Gama?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Lanús?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
22.04.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Lanús
0:0
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
