Result
2:1
26/02/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 4
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Flow Eventos |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (244/311) | 86% (392/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (244/311) | 86% (392/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (58/89) | 78% (88/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (15/29) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 1 - 0, Neymar ⚽, Moises (A),
- 29', Neymar 🟨,
- 29', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Cauan Barros ⚽, Andres Gomez (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Miguelito ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
- 60', Moises ↓, Rony ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Neymar ⚽,
- 70', Rojas J. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 70', Moreira N. ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 70', Lucas Piton ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
- 75', Spinelli C. ↓, David ↑,
- 78', Willian Arao ↓, Joao Schmidt ↑,
- 78', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Ze Rafael ↑,
- 84', Thaciano ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 84', Thiago Mendes ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
46% | Draw
27.5% | Vasco da Gama
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Santos - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.17) |
3.46 ↑
(3.41) |
3.54 ↑
(3.17) |
5.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Vasco da Gama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Santos (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Santos (1.28) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Vasco (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Vasco (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Vasco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Vasco has had a series of home games.
- Santos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vasco: Cuiabano
(Inactive)
Jair
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Duarte A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Vasco da Gama?
Santos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Santos?
Vasco da Gama has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
17.08.2025
Santos
-
Vasco da Gama
0:6
30.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Santos
2:1
01.10.2023
Santos
-
Vasco da Gama
4:1
14.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Santos
0:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
