Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 1
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/471) | 85% (347/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (404/471) | 85% (347/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (30/48) | 60% (29/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (126/154) | 77% (78/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.33 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Barreal A. ⚽, Tiquinho Soares (A),
- 33', Lucas Piton 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Moreira N. ⚽, Vegetti P. (A),
- 68', Coutinho ↓, Payet D. ↑,
- 68', Garre B. ↓, Adson ↑,
- 68', Paulinho Paula ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
- 68', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Deivid Washington ↑,
- 69', Barreal A. ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
- 77', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Payet D. (A),
- 81', Hugo Moura ↓, Jair ↑,
- 83', Joao Schmidt ↓, Diego Pituca ↑,
- 83', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Thaciano ↑,
- 87', Rollheiser B. ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 90+6', Joao Pedro Chermont 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
40.2% | Draw
30.7% | Santos
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vasco da Gama - Santos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.49) |
3.1 ↓
(3.11) |
3.24 ↑
(2.99) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Santos?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 1.
- Recent matches Vasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Santos is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Santos: Aderlan
(Injury)
Souza
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos: Neymar
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Vasco won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:30 (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Santos?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Vasco da Gama?
Santos has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Santos were as follows:
01.10.2023
Santos
-
Vasco da Gama
4:1
14.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Santos
0:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31:7 | 24 | 37 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 37 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Bahia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 28 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 7 | Botafogo RJ | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 20:20 | 0 | 25 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Ceara | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 13 | Internacional | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 21 |
| 14 | Gremio | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 20 |
| 15 | Santos | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18:22 | -4 | 18 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Vasco | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18:23 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 19 | Juventude | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11:35 | -24 | 11 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 9:25 | -16 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
