Result
0:6
17/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globo Internacional TV, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/343) | 89% (450/504) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 4.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (277/343) | 89% (450/504) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 50% (13/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (68/101) | 77% (75/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.03 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.97 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Hugo Moura 🟨,
- 15', Luisao 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Lucas Piton ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 38', Jair 🟨,
- 39', Neymar 🟨,
- 41', Tche Tche 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 52', 0 - 2, David ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
- 54', 0 - 3, Coutinho ⚽, Moreira N. (A),
- 60', 0 - 4, Rayan (Pen),
- 61', Rayan 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 5, Coutinho ⚽, David (A),
- 66', Barreal A. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 66', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Rincon T. ↑,
- 66', Souza ↓, Escobar G. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 6, Tche Tche ⚽, David (A),
- 71', Ze Rafael ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
- 71', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Luca Meirelles ↑,
- 75', Hugo Moura ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,
- 75', Jair ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
- 75', Moreira N. ↓, GB ↑,
- 80', David ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,
- 83', Rayan ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
49.3% | Draw
27.1% | Vasco da Gama
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Vasco da Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Santos - Vasco da Gama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.2) |
3.49 ↑
(3.2) |
3.98 ↑
(3.4) |
5.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Vasco da Gama?
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Santos will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Santos is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Santos: Arao W.
(Muscle Injury)
Joao Basso
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
GB
(Muscle Injury)
Vegetti P.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Vasco da Gama?
Santos has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against Santos?
Vasco da Gama has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Vasco da Gama were as follows:
30.03.2025
Vasco da Gama
-
Santos
2:1
01.10.2023
Santos
-
Vasco da Gama
4:1
14.05.2023
Vasco da Gama
-
Santos
0:1
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
