Vegas Golden Knights vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:6
06/11/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Sky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
swedenSwedenTelia, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3227
Shots off target
1124
Shooting PCT
9.38% (3/32)22.22% (6/27)
Blocked Shots
1617
Goalkeeper Saves
2129
Saves PCT
80.77% (21/26)90.63% (29/32)
Penalties
42
PIM
86
Power-play Goals
02
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (2/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (2/4)100% (2/2)
Hits
1311
Faceoffs Won
3222
Faceoffs %
59.2640.74
Giveaways
138
Takeaways
29
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:25, 1 - 0, Barbashev I. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 15:53, 2 - 0, Barbashev I. (G), Marner M. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 00:36, 2 - 1, Goncalves G. (G), James D. (A),
  • 03:28, 2 - 2, James D. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 05:37, Barbashev I. (2 min),
  • 11:37, Korczak K. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 4)
  • 00:48, (2 min),
  • 02:48, 2 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 03:37, 3 - 3, Marner M. (G),
  • 04:12, 3 - 4, Hagel B. (G), James D. (A),
  • 04:56, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 12:38, Lauzon J. (2 min),
  • 14:12, 3 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Hedman V. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
  • 15:15, Goncalves G. (2 min),
  • 19:13, 3 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vegas Golden Knights
41.4%		Draw
22.4%		Tampa Bay Lightning
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 21.5% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 21.7% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1%)
    •

    Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.3 ↑
    (2.25)    		 4.31 ↓
    (4.52)    		 2.63 ↓
    (2.74)    		 4.7%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 1.
    • Recent performances by Vegas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Vegas: Hart C. (Suspended) Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Stone M. (Wrist Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 50:47. (average 3.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 3.7:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1
    23.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2
    17.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 4:3
    19.03.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5
    21.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 5:4
    Latest results of Vegas Golden Knights
    04.11.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Detroit Red Wings 1:0 ✺
    31.10.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche 2:4 ✺
    28.10.2025 Carolina Hurricanes - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1 ✺
    25.10.2025 Florida Panthers - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    04.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2 ✺
    02.11.2025 Utah Mammoth - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:4 ✺
    30.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Nashville Predators - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5 ✺
    26.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vegas Golden Knights 2:1 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 724261014268:183106
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7334101118251:20199
    3Minnesota Wild7426151221242:21694
    4Anaheim Ducks732417428245:25186
    5Edmonton Oilers74289928258:25183
    6Utah Mammoth74299630235:21282
    7Vegas Golden Knights742481626232:23480
    8Nashville Predators73259930218:24377
    9Los Angeles Kings7319101826195:22276
    10Seattle Kraken722571129206:22475
    11Winnipeg Jets732561230209:22574
    12San Jose Sharks712112731215:25373
    13St. Louis Blues722741130191:22773
    14Calgary Flames73247834189:22570
    15Chicago Blackhawks732071333189:23967
    16Vancouver Canucks72147843185:27350


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes723313620257:21398
    2Buffalo Sabres74378821259:21898
    3Tampa Bay Lightning72369621264:20196
    4Montreal Canadiens7229121021255:23292
    5Boston Bruins733011824246:22790
    6New York Islanders742814527216:20989
    7Pittsburgh Penguins732971621250:23488
    8Columbus Blue Jackets7327111124234:22287
    9Detroit Red Wings732811826215:21886
    10Ottawa Senators733261025244:22486
    11Philadelphia Flyers7223131224214:21884
    12Washington Capitals74316928232:21983
    13New Jersey Devils722512233199:22076
    14Toronto Maple Leafs742381330230:26075
    15Florida Panthers73278335216:24473
    16New York Rangers74219935211:23269

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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