Result
0:0
29/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Sports 3 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | LaLiga+ app |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (343/464) | 71% (269/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (343/464) | 71% (269/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/77) | 43% (28/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (76/131) | 58% (67/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/24) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Leo Coelho 🟨,
- 33', Galvan T. 🟨,
- 45+3', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Umpierrez L. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 73', Sosa I. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
- 73', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 79', Baeza C. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 80', Galvan T. ↓, Cabral R. ↑,
- 83', Silvera M. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
- 83', Suarez D. ↓, David Terans ↑,
- 90', Pizzini F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
42.2% | Draw
31.3% | Vélez Sársfield
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.05) |
3.02 ↓
(3.4) |
3.55 ↓
(3.6) |
6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Peñarol is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Vélez is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 0.
- Peñarol has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Peñarol: Avenatti F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Braian Romero
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Lagos A.
(Knee Injury)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Porcel M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Vélez Sársfield?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
02.04.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
