Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (196/321) | 78% (444/568) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (196/321) | 78% (444/568) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (22/72) | 41% (29/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (59/118) | 64% (87/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (23/27) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Lanzini M. ⚽, Pellegrini M. (A),
- 18', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 27', Quintero J. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
- 34', Pellegrini M. ↓, Veron A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Galvan T. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 46', Armani F. ↓, Beltran S. ↑,
- 52', Vina M. 🟨,
- 64', Monzon F. 🟨,
- 64', Monzon F. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
- 65', Robertone L. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
- 66', Fausto Vera ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 70', Paez K. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 77', Lanzini M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 87', Montiel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
33.1% | Draw
32.6% | River Plate
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1%)
Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.72) |
2.86 ↓
(2.93) |
2.74
(2.74) |
6.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 30%). River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Vélez (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Vélez (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - River Plate (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Vélez (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez (votes: 3 - 42.9%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Vélez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, River Plate has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J.
(Inactive)
Romero B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Armani F.
(Heel Injury)
Costantini G.
(Knee Injury)
Driussi S.
(Muscle Injury)
Meza M.
(Foot Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vélez: Valdes D.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against River Plate?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Vélez Sársfield?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - River Plate were as follows:
16.11.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
0:0
04.05.2025
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
4:1
18.10.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
04.02.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
5:0
02.09.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:0
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:7 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Independiente | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 18 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3:10 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 29 |
| 2 | River Plate | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Belgrano | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4:19 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
