Result
4:1
04/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Sport Italia, Sportitalia Plus |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (438/534) | 76% (285/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (438/534) | 76% (285/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (37/69) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (77/105) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 0% (0/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (15/33) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Driussi S. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Colidio F. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 30', Gonzalez Pirez L. 🟨,
- 32', Silvero T. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Mastantuono F. (A),
- 37', 3 - 1, Carrizo M. ⚽, Bouzat A. (A),
- 43', Vazquez K. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vazquez K. A. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 59', Giuliano Galoppo 🟨,
- 61', Perez E. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
- 61', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Meza M. ↑,
- 61', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
- 69', Carrizo M. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 69', Pellegrini M. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
- 70', Mastantuono F. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 70', Colidio F. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 78', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 84', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 90+1', Castano K. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 90+5', Gomez V. 🟨,
- 90+10', 4 - 1, Miguel Borja (Pen),
Chances of winning
River Plate
58.3% | Draw
25% | Vélez Sársfield
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+14%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
River Plate - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.35) |
3.8 ↓
(4.57) |
5.67 ↓
(9.33) |
5.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for River Plate - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- River Plate is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 1.
- River Plate is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vélez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, River Plate is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S.
(Injury)
Diaz P.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruberto A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez M.
(Inactive)
Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Mammana E.
(Hand Injury)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Porcel M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Vélez Sársfield?
River Plate has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against River Plate?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
18.10.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
04.02.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
5:0
02.09.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:0
29.05.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:2
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Barracas Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Banfield | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Huracan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Instituto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Godoy Cruz | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Platense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 15 | Independiente | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
