Result
0:0
16/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/327) | 72% (294/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (223/327) | 72% (294/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/62) | 33% (25/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (68/115) | 56% (74/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Bustos F. ↓, Obregon A. ↑,
- 26', Obregon A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Godoy D. ↓, Monzon F. ↑,
- 62', Lencina S. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 62', Quintero J. ↓, Acosta T. ↑,
- 71', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 74', Salas M. ↓, Freitas J. ↑,
- 74', Cavanagh T. ↓, Andrada T. ↑,
- 74', Lanzini M. ↓, Baeza C. ↑,
- 76', Casco M. 🟨,
- 82', Galvan T. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
- 90', Subiabre I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
30.2% | Draw
30.2% | River Plate
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Vélez Sársfield - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↑
(3.05) |
3.12 ↑
(3) |
2.41 ↓
(2.46) |
5.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). River Plate will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - River Plate (2.00) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- Vélez is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Vélez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- River Plate could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Gomez E.
(Yellow Cards)
Machuca I.
(Suspended)
Magallan L.
(Inactive)
Mammana E.
(Ankle Injury)
Roldan L.
(Inactive)
Romero B.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in River Plate: Acuna M.
(Yellow Cards)
Colidio F.
(Muscle Injury)
Costantini G.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez Quarta L.
(Yellow Cards)
Meza M.
(Foot Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against River Plate?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Vélez Sársfield?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - River Plate were as follows:
04.05.2025
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
4:1
18.10.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
1:1
04.02.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
5:0
02.09.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:0
29.05.2023
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
2:2
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of River Plate
Draw
Clausura - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Talleres Cordoba | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | Argentinos Jrs | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Racing Club | River Plate | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Lanus | Tigre | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Dep. Riestra | Barracas Central | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Union de Santa Fe | Gimnasia L.P. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Central Cordoba | San Lorenzo | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Rosario Central | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Racing Club | Tigre | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Boca Juniors | Racing Club | |
| 2 | Gimnasia L.P. | Estudiantes L.P. | |
Final
