Venados vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Result
2:1
21/02/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
138
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
76
Corner Kicks
51
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Calzadilla L. 🟥,
  • 19', Hinestroza M. C. A. 🟨,
  • 27', Lora S. 🟨,
  • 37', Morales F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ,
  • 58', Arellano A. 🟨,
  • 59', Cortes Cardona C. A. , Ballesteros O. ,
  • 59', Arellano A. , Carballo E. ,
  • 67', Hinestroza M. C. A. , Levin J. ,
  • 68', Levin J. 🟨,
  • 69', 2 - 0, Vidrio N. ,
  • 72', Amador K. , Lopez F. ,
  • 73', Lora S. , Guzman W. ,
  • 76', Morales F. , Meza S. ,
  • 76', Santos E. , Riestra M. ,
  • 81', Lopez D. 🟥,
  • 86', Madrid W. , Sandoval H. ,
  • 86', Miranda J. , Garcia M. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Ballesteros O. ,
  • 90', Lopez F. , Espinosa E. ,

Chances of winning


Venados
68.5%
Draw
18.5%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 20.6% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.6% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados's performance.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.46)
    5.01
    (4.45)
    7.07
    (5.58)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 5).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tucson won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Recently Tucson have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Abbotsford have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Tucson won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 56:60 (average 3.1:3.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tucson won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:25 (average 3.9:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
    08.09.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados 1:0
    12.03.2024 Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    05.09.2023 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados 2:1
    18.01.2023 Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    Latest results of Venados
    15.02.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:2
    07.02.2025 Venados - Atlético La Paz 2:1
    02.02.2025 Venados - Atlante 1:1
    25.01.2025 Celaya - Venados 1:1
    17.01.2025 Venados - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

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