Result
2:1
21/02/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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7 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 4 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Calzadilla L. 🟥,
- 19', Hinestroza M. C. A. 🟨,
- 27', Lora S. 🟨,
- 37', Morales F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Lopez F. ⚽,
- 58', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 59', Cortes Cardona C. A. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 59', Arellano A. ↓, Carballo E. ↑,
- 67', Hinestroza M. C. A. ↓, Levin J. ↑,
- 68', Levin J. 🟨,
- 69', 2 - 0, Vidrio N. ⚽,
- 72', Amador K. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 73', Lora S. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
- 76', Morales F. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
- 76', Santos E. ↓, Riestra M. ↑,
- 81', Lopez D. 🟥,
- 86', Madrid W. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
- 86', Miranda J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Ballesteros O. ⚽,
- 90', Lopez F. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Venados 68.5% | Draw 18.5% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca 13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venados's performance.Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.46) |
5.01 ↑ (4.45) |
7.07 ↑ (5.58) |
8.3% (9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 5).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tucson won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Recently Tucson have a series of guest games.
- Recently Abbotsford have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Tucson won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 56:60 (average 3.1:3.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tucson won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 31:25 (average 3.9:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Venados has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Venados?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
08.09.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Venados
1:0
12.03.2024
Venados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
05.09.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Venados
2:1
18.01.2023
Venados
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)