USA vs Venezuela, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
17/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Oneplay
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoFOX One
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox

Match Stats

Hits
36
Errors
00
2B - double
01
3B - triple
00
Home runs
11
Runs batted in
23
Left on base
45
Base on balls
33
Strikeouts
107
Stolen bases
01
At bat
3031
Batting average
0.10.194

Chances of winning


USA
68.5%
Venezuela
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezuela than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • USA - Venezuela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.37)

    3.07
    (3.21)
    4.4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for USA - Venezuela?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Venezuela will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venezuela: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 50%). Venezuela (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Venezuela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, USA is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:29. (average 5.3:4.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA - Venezuela were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 1:6
    22.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 5:6
    11.11.2024 Venezuela - USA 5:3
    18.03.2023 Venezuela - USA 7:9
    Latest results of USA
    15.03.2026 Dominican Republic - USA 1:2
    13.03.2026 Canada - USA 3:5
    10.03.2026 USA - Italy 6:8
    09.03.2026 USA - Mexico 5:3
    07.03.2026 USA - Great Britain 9:1
    Latest results of Venezuela
    16.03.2026 Italy - Venezuela 2:4
    14.03.2026 Japan - Venezuela 5:8
    09.03.2026 Nicaragua - Venezuela 0:4
    07.03.2026 Venezuela - Israel 11:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)South Korea (C2)10 : 0
    2Canada (A1)USA (B2)3 : 5
    3Italy (B1)Puerto Rico (A2)8 : 6
    4Japan (C1)Venezuela (D2)5 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)USA (B2)1 : 2
    2Italy (B1)Venezuela (D2)2 : 4

    Final
    1USA (B2)Venezuela (D2)2 : 3