Result
1:1
08/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 14
- Referee: Nouhoum A. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Besio A. ⚽, Mhamdi O. (A),
- 33', Uhlmann E. 🟨,
- 35', Clausen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bornschein R. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,
- 66', Eze J. 🟨,
- 66', Guttau J. 🟨,
- 67', Simnica L. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Arweiler J. (Own goal),
- 73', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
- 73', Ehlers J. ↓, Bar M. ↑,
- 74', Besio A. ↓, Onuoha C. ↑,
- 74', Eze J. ↓, Otto Y. ↑,
- 85', Kijewski N. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
- 85', Arweiler J. ↓, Stocker M. ↑,
- 90+1', Guttau J. ↓, Tashchy B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Verl
53.9% | Draw
23.4% | Erzgebirge Aue
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Verl - Erzgebirge Aue Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.65) |
4.05 ↓
(4.11) |
4.12 ↓
(4.27) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Verl - Erzgebirge Aue?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Aue will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verl: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Verl (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Verl (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 5.
- Verl is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aue has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Verl is the team to beat.
- We predict that Verl will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Verl won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 3.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 3.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Verl won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Verl has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Verl?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Verl - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
26.04.2025
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
5:1
30.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
2:5
13.04.2024
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
03.11.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
1:2
15.04.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
2:3
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 58 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 59:48 | 11 | 52 |
| 4 | Verl | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 67:41 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Duisburg | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 52:40 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 52:32 | 20 | 50 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | Wehen | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 48 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 47:53 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | Alemannia Aachen | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 49:39 | 10 | 40 |
| 12 | Viktoria Koln | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40:39 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 |
| 14 | Regensburg | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 53:53 | 0 | 35 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 17 | Aue | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 33:52 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 29 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 38:61 | -23 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 41:64 | -23 | 23 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 29 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 26:68 | -42 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
