Result
12/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
26.1% | Draw
22.7% | Verl
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Verl Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↓
(3.67) |
4.06 ↑
(4) |
1.8 ↑
(1.78) |
8.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0.
- Aue has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Verl has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Aue may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Verl is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Verl will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 1.4:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.7:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Verl?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Verl won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Verl has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Verl were as follows:
08.11.2025
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
1:1
26.04.2025
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
5:1
30.11.2024
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
2:5
13.04.2024
Verl
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:1
03.11.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Verl
1:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | RW Essen | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 65:50 | 15 | 61 |
| 3 | Cottbus | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 61:44 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 55:42 | 13 | 57 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 57:36 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Verl | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 71:44 | 27 | 54 |
| 7 | Munich 1860 | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47:43 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Alemannia Aachen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 57:52 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Wehen | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:40 | 3 | 48 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 51:56 | -5 | 47 |
| 11 | Viktoria Koln | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 46:44 | 2 | 44 |
| 12 | Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 44:48 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 42 |
| 14 | Ingolstadt | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 51:44 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim II | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 59:58 | 1 | 39 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:47 | -5 | 37 |
| 17 | Ulm | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 41:63 | -22 | 29 |
| 18 | TSV Havelse | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 47:73 | -26 | 26 |
| 19 | Aue | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 32 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 30:76 | -46 | 17 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
