Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Championship Group - Round 3
- Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
 Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (315/429) | 64% (204/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (315/429) | 64% (204/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (37/70) | 36% (29/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (118/183) | 52% (63/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Kornezos G. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', 1 - 0, Jemelka V. ⚽, Kalvach L. (A),
- 59', 1 - 1, Buchta D. ⚽, Owusu D. (A),
- 64', 1 - 2, Owusu D. ⚽,
- 64', Owusu D. ↓, Kubala F. ↑,
- 67', Adu P. K. ↓, Durosinmi R. ↑,
- 67', Vydra M. ↓, Vasulin D. ↑,
- 67', Cerv L. ↓, Valenta M. ↑,
- 77', Memic A. ↓, Kopic J. ↑,
- 80', Cadu ↓, Doski M. ↑,
- 86', Rusnak M. ↓, Juroska J. ↑,
- 86', Sin M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
- 86', Prekop E. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
- 88', Buchta D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Viktoria Plzeň
58.4% | Draw
23.3% | Baník Ostrava
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.62) |
4.02 ↑
(3.6) |
5.1 ↑
(4.5) |
6.6%
(11.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Viktoria Plzeň will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Baník Ostrava has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Plzeň is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Plzeň: Doski M.
(Injury)
Panos J.
(Injury)
Souare C.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Chalus M.
(Yellow Cards)
Frydrych M.
(Red Card)
Grygar S.
(Knee Injury)
Kohut M.
(Red Card)
Rigo T.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Plzeň: Jedlicka M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:15. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plzeň won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Viktoria Plzeň won against Baník Ostrava?
Viktoria Plzeň has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Baník Ostrava won against Viktoria Plzeň?
Baník Ostrava has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzeň - Baník Ostrava were as follows:
19.10.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Viktoria Plzeň
1:3
18.05.2024
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Baník Ostrava
1:1
13.02.2024
Baník Ostrava
-
Viktoria Plzeň
0:1
06.08.2023
Viktoria Plzeň
-
Baník Ostrava
3:1
16.04.2023
Baník Ostrava
-
Viktoria Plzeň
2:1
Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
Latest results of Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sparta Prague | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Zlin | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Plzen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Slavia Prague | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Karvina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Liberec | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Bohemians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Slovacko | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Dukla Prague | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Teplice | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Hradec Kralove | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Ostrava | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | FK Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
