Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Krogh M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 7 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 4 |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 10 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 12, Blue Sport 12 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (260/345) | 71% (255/359) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (260/345) | 71% (255/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (77/120) | 54% (34/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 32% (6/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Dweh S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vydra M. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
- 46', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 61', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 69', Eggestein M. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
- 69', Suzuki Y. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
- 74', Gunter C. 🟨,
- 82', Hofler N. 🟨,
- 82', Valenta M. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
- 83', Gunter C. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
- 89', Adu P. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
- 90+2', Doski M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Souare C. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Viktoria Plzeň
33.4% | Draw
28.7% | Freiburg
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.15) |
3.36 ↓
(3.52) |
2.52 ↑
(2.19) |
3.8%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 51.2% – 84.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Plzeň (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Plzeň (votes: 2 - 20%). Freiburg (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Plzeň have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
- Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Plzeň: Hejda L.
(Inactive)
Kopic J.
(Knee Injury)
Paluska J.
(Surgery)
Panos J.
(Convalescence)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Irie C.
(Illness)
Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Viktoria Plzeň won against Freiburg?
Viktoria Plzeň has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Viktoria Plzeň?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Viktoria Plzeň - Freiburg were as follows:
Latest results of Viktoria Plzeň
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
