Athletico Paranaense vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova
Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
78% (274/352)79% (305/388)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
2.270.08
xG on target (xGOT)
3.410.00
Total shots
164
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
204
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1916
Passes
78% (274/352)79% (305/388)
Long passes
55% (29/53)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
65% (53/81)55% (40/73)
Crosses
23% (3/13)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.17
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1619
Tackles
71% (10/14)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5551
Clearances
1624
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.003.41
Goals prevented
0.001.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Joao Vieira 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto , Benavidez G. (A),
  • 37', Igor Henrique 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Elias 🟨,
  • 58', Esquivel L. 🟨,
  • 63', Bruno Xavier , Guilherme Parede ,
  • 63', Gabriel Poveda , Andrey L. ,
  • 68', Renan Peixoto , Mendoza S. ,
  • 68', Julimar , Luiz Fernando ,
  • 73', Dudu Kogitzki , Felipinho ,
  • 73', Leozinho , Velasco K. ,
  • 73', Igor Henrique , Enzo ,
  • 76', Weverton 🟨,
  • 78', Mendoza S. 🟨,
  • 80', Dodo , Gustavo Paje ,
  • 80', Higor , Jean Mota ,
  • 80', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 0, Luiz Fernando , Benavidez G. (A),
  • 88', Velasco K. 🟨,
  • 90', Zapelli B. , Giuliano ,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
59.3%
Draw
25.6%
Vila Nova
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.9% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 25.8% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.7)
    3.63
    (3.5)
    6.33
    (5.35)
    6.3%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Belezi (Inactive) Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards) Viveros K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Emerson Urso (Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Ralf (Inactive) Willian Formiga (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Viveros K. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense 2:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    13.09.2025 Vila Nova - Remo 1:1
    08.09.2025 Vila Nova - Athletic Club 1:1
    01.09.2025 Chapecoense - Vila Nova 2:2
    25.08.2025 Botafogo SP - Vila Nova 2:0
    16.08.2025 Vila Nova - Goiás 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba30158732:191353
    2Goias30149734:26851
    3Criciuma30148839:261350
    4Athletico-PR29146943:36748
    5Chapecoense-SC301451142:301247
    6Novorizontino301211732:27547
    7Cuiaba301210837:34346
    8CRB301341334:30443
    9Remo291012733:28542
    10Atletico GO291012731:28342
    11Avai3010101036:33340
    12Operario-PR291091031:28339
    13Vila Nova FC301091130:32-239
    14America MG301061432:36-436
    15Ferroviaria308121034:39-536
    16Athletic Club30961532:42-1033
    17Volta Redonda307101319:31-1231
    18Botafogo SP30781525:46-2129
    19Amazonas306101431:46-1528
    20Paysandu PA305111426:36-1026

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