Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (168/255) | 78% (328/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (168/255) | 78% (328/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (48/77) | 60% (79/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Igor Henrique ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 13', 1 - 0, Bernardo Schappo ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
- 25', Habraao ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 33', 2 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Tiago Pagnussat (A),
- 34', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 43', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
- 54', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 55', Giuliano ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 55', Tevis ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 66', Junior Todinho ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 70', Felipinho 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Zapelli B. (Pen),
- 79', Raul ↓, Moraes K. ↑,
- 79', Dodo ↓, Joao Vieira ↑,
- 79', Arilson ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
35.2% | Draw
33% | Athletico Paranaense
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.6) |
2.83 ↓
(3.13) |
2.93 ↑
(2.76) |
6.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Bruno Mendes
(Inactive)
Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Junior Todinho
(Inactive)
Labandeira F.
(Inactive)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki
(Inactive)
Leozinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletico Paranaense?
Vila Nova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Vila Nova?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Goias | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 1 | 37 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 | Vila Nova FC | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Operario-PR | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21:36 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 26 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
