Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Referee: Bellote L. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 1.15 |
Ball Possession |
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39% | 61% |
Total shots |
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15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Passes |
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66% (168/255) | 78% (328/418) |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.62 | 1.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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2.58 | 0.82 |
Total shots |
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15 | 8 |
Shots on target |
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7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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14 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 15 |
Passes |
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66% (168/255) | 78% (328/418) |
Long passes |
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31% (18/59) | 40% (22/55) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (48/77) | 60% (79/131) |
Crosses |
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50% (7/14) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.90 | 0.61 |
Throw-ins |
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24 | 32 |
Fouls |
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15 | 12 |
Tackles |
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38% (5/13) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
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43 | 63 |
Clearances |
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30 | 19 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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0.82 | 2.58 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.18 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Igor Henrique ↓, Miticov ↑,
- 13', 1 - 0, Bernardo Schappo ⚽, Guilherme Parede (A),
- 25', Habraao ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 33', 2 - 0, Gabriel Poveda ⚽, Tiago Pagnussat (A),
- 34', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
- 43', Figueiredo T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
- 54', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 55', Giuliano ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 55', Tevis ↓, Isaac ↑,
- 66', Junior Todinho ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
- 66', Guilherme Parede ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 70', Felipinho 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Zapelli B. (Pen),
- 79', Raul ↓, Moraes K. ↑,
- 79', Dodo ↓, Joao Vieira ↑,
- 79', Arilson ↓, Walisson Maia ↑,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova 35.2% | Draw 33% | Athletico Paranaense 31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.68 ↑ (2.6) |
2.83 ↓ (3.13) |
2.93 ↑ (2.76) |
6.8% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Bruno Mendes
(Inactive)
Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Junior Todinho
(Inactive)
Labandeira F.
(Inactive)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Dudu Kogitzki
(Inactive)
Leozinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Sena
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletico Paranaense?
Vila Nova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Vila Nova?
Athletico Paranaense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )