Result
1:0
09/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 11
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (303/386) | 72% (200/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (303/386) | 72% (200/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (70/111) | 53% (45/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
- 45+4', Diego Goncalves (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Leo Alaba ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
- 51', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
- 60', Labandeira F. 🟨,
- 60', Labandeira F. ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 67', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 67', Miticov ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 84', Jean Mota ↓, Gustavo Mathiello ↑,
- 84', Joao Vieira ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 85', Diego Goncalves ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
- 88', Nicolas ↓, Sassa ↑,
- 90', Joao Carlos 🟨,
- 90+3', Sassa 🟨,
- 90+3', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 90+5', Ze Gabriel ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
- 90+5', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
Chances of winning
Criciúma
41.2% | Draw
31.8% | Vila Nova
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Criciúma - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.17) |
2.94 ↓
(3.15) |
3.44 ↓
(3.67) |
7.3%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Criciúma - Vila Nova?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Criciúma might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Igor Henrique
(Red Card)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Kozlinski
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Gabriel Novaes
(Inactive)
Jonathan
(Injury)
Werik Popo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Davis E.
(Knee Injury)
Guilherme Parede
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Vila Nova?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Criciúma?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Vila Nova were as follows:
22.08.2023
Criciúma
-
Vila Nova
1:0
12.05.2023
Vila Nova
-
Criciúma
0:0
04.10.2022
Vila Nova
-
Criciúma
1:0
Latest results of Criciúma
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Avai | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 30:23 | 7 | 33 |
| 10 | CRB | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | Athletico-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 13 | Ferroviaria | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 30 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 17:31 | -14 | 25 |
| 17 | Amazonas | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 20:27 | -7 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
