Criciúma vs Vila Nova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Criciúma - Vila Nova
Result
1:0
09/06/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 11
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.44
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Passes
78% (303/386)72% (200/279)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.00
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
119
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
132
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
78% (303/386)72% (200/279)
Long passes
54% (29/54)38% (22/58)
Passes in final third
63% (70/111)53% (45/85)
Crosses
23% (7/30)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.43
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1511
Tackles
40% (4/10)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3037
Interceptions
1013
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.75
Goals prevented
0.000.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+2', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
  • 45+4', Diego Goncalves (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Leo Alaba , Jhonata Robert ,
  • 51', Diego Goncalves 🟨,
  • 60', Labandeira F. 🟨,
  • 60', Labandeira F. , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 67', Gabriel Poveda , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 67', Miticov , Arilson ,
  • 78', 1 - 0, Rodrigo ,
  • 84', Jean Mota , Gustavo Mathiello ,
  • 84', Joao Vieira , Dodo ,
  • 85', Diego Goncalves , Joao Carlos ,
  • 88', Nicolas , Sassa ,
  • 90', Joao Carlos 🟨,
  • 90+3', Sassa 🟨,
  • 90+3', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ze Gabriel , Yan Souto ,
  • 90+5', Guilherme Lobo , Leo Naldi ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
41.2%
Draw
31.8%
Vila Nova
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 30.2% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 26.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Criciúma - Vila Nova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.17)
    2.94
    (3.15)
    3.44
    (3.67)
    7.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Criciúma - Vila Nova?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 2.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Criciúma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Criciúma might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Criciúma: Fellipe Mateus (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso (Inactive) Igor Henrique (Red Card) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Mauricio Kozlinski (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Criciúma: Gabriel Barros (Inactive) Gabriel Novaes (Inactive) Jonathan (Injury) Werik Popo (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Davis E. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Parede (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 0.8:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Vila Nova were as follows:
    22.08.2023 Criciúma - Vila Nova 1:0
    12.05.2023 Vila Nova - Criciúma 0:0
    04.10.2022 Vila Nova - Criciúma 1:0
    Latest results of Criciúma
    02.06.2025 Paysandu - Criciúma 0:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    18.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Criciúma 1:0
    11.05.2025 Criciúma - Volta Redonda 0:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    26.05.2025 Cuiabá - Vila Nova 1:0
    22.05.2025 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 0:3
    14.05.2025 Remo - Vila Nova 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino1997323:16734
    4Chapecoense-SC1993725:18730
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Cuiaba1984722:22028
    8Avai1977526:20628
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11CRB1974820:18225
    12Athletico-PR1974824:26-225
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA1948718:21-320
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )