Result
1:1
02/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/274) | 79% (353/446) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/274) | 79% (353/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (23/63) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (60/112) | 60% (59/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Junior Todinho ⚽, Joao Vieira (A),
- 16', Nicolas ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
- 36', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 43', Joao Vieira 🟨,
- 45', Jhonata Robert 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
- 46', Matheus Trindade ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Diego Goncalves ⚽, Rodrigo (A),
- 66', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Bruno Mendes ↑,
- 66', Igor Henrique ↓, Dodo ↑,
- 66', Hiago Alves 🟨,
- 74', Jhonata Robert ↓, Thales ↑,
- 75', Jonathan ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
- 82', Weverton 🟥,
- 84', Joao Vieira ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
- 84', Guilherme Parede ↓, Pedro Romano ↑,
- 85', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 88', Junior Todinho ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 90+7', Elias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
44% | Draw
32% | Criciúma
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Criciúma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vila Nova that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Criciúma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vila Nova - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.37) |
3.13 ↑
(3.05) |
4.23 ↑
(3) |
0.7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Criciúma (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Criciúma (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
- In recent matches, Vila Nova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Criciúma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Vila Nova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Criciúma: Caue
(Inactive)
Felipinho
(Red Card)
Heitor Roca
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Kaua Moroso
(Back Injury)
Leo Alaba
(Injury)
Leo Naldi
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Criciúma?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Vila Nova?
Criciúma has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Criciúma were as follows:
09.06.2025
Criciúma
-
Vila Nova
1:0
22.08.2023
Criciúma
-
Vila Nova
1:0
12.05.2023
Vila Nova
-
Criciúma
0:0
04.10.2022
Vila Nova
-
Criciúma
1:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ceara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Sport Recife | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Goias | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Nautico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | CRB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventude | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Ponte Preta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fortaleza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Atletico GO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | America MG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Londrina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sao Bernardo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Operario-PR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Novorizontino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Athletic Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
