Vila Nova vs Cruzeiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
22/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2315
Shots on target
910
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
80% (308/386)80% (338/425)
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
2315
Shots on target
910
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
34
Corner Kicks
95
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
80% (308/386)80% (338/425)
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1411
Goalkeeper Saves
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
  • 27', William Furtado 🟨,
  • 27', Guilherme Parede 🟨,
  • 30', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Tiago Pagnussat , Walisson Maia ,
  • 56', Eduardo 🟨,
  • 56', 0 - 1, Eduardo , Gabriel Barbosa (A),
  • 62', Dodo , Vinicius Paiva ,
  • 62', Junior Todinho , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 64', Kaio Jorge , Bolasie Y. ,
  • 64', Christian , Lucas Silva ,
  • 65', Elias 🟨,
  • 70', Guilherme Parede , Diego Torres ,
  • 71', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
  • 75', 0 - 2, Eduardo , Bolasie Y. (A),
  • 80', Kaiki , Kaua Prates ,
  • 80', Romero L. , Walace ,
  • 81', William Furtado , Jonathan Jesus ,
  • 82', Gabriel Poveda , Ralf ,
  • 86', 0 - 3, Jonathan Jesus , Matheus Pereira (A),

Chances of winning


Vila Nova
29.9%
Draw
31.7%
Cruzeiro
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 27.3% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 26.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vila Nova - Cruzeiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (3.51)
    2.92
    (3.43)
    2.42
    (2.03)
    7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Cruzeiro?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Cruzeiro (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Cruzeiro (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
    • Vila Nova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cruzeiro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cruzeiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Cruzeiro were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    14.10.2022 Vila Nova - Cruzeiro 1:0
    Latest results of Vila Nova
    14.05.2025 Remo - Vila Nova 2:0
    06.05.2025 Athletic Club - Vila Nova 0:1
    01.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Vila Nova 2:0
    25.04.2025 Vila Nova - Chapecoense 1:0
    Latest results of Cruzeiro
    14.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Palestino 2:1
    11.05.2025 Sport Recife - Cruzeiro 0:4
    07.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Cruzeiro 1:1
    04.05.2025 Cruzeiro - Flamengo 2:1
    Draw
    2026

    1/256-finals
    1BarraBye
    3America MGBye
    4America SETirol1 : 2
    5IvinhemaIndependente AP1 : 0
    6ByeVolta Redonda
    7America RNBye
    8ByeGAS
    9Sampaio Correa FEDesportiva Ferroviaria1 : 2
    10ByeSport Recife
    11AnapolisBye
    12ByeCianorte
    13Rio Branco ESBye
    14ByeAthletic Club
    15Ypiranga FCBye
    16Ji-ParanaPantanal2 : 0
    17ManauaraBye
    18ByeItabaiana
    19FortalezaBye
    20MaguaryLaguna RN1 : 0
    21CastanhalBye
    22ByeGuarani
    23Nova IguacuBye
    24ByeLagarto
    25Santa CatarinaIAPE2 : 0
    26ByeCuiaba
    27CeilandiaBye
    28ByeJacuipense
    29MixtoBye
    30ByeBotafogo PB
    31NovorizontinoBye
    32ByeNacional-AM
    33Sao LuizBye
    34ByeMaranhao
    35CearaBye
    36AraguainaPrimavera0 : 3
    37JoinvilleBye
    38ByeCSA
    39Sao BernardoBye
    40ByeAlagoinhas
    41Vasco da Gama ACVelo Clube1 : 2
    42ByeVila Nova FC
    43ASABye
    44ByeOperario MS
    45ConfiancaBye
    47TombenseBye
    48ByeOratorio
    49Ponte PretaBye
    51SER CaxiasBye
    52ByeGuarany de Bage
    53Operario VGBye
    54ByePorto Velho
    55Atletico GOBye
    56Primavera ACBragantino2 : 1
    57BoavistaBye
    58ByeMaringa FC
    59RetroBye
    60ByeUberlandia
    61GamaMonte Roraima2 : 0
    62ByeGoias
    63TremBye
    64ByeFluminense-PI
    65BareMadureira0 : 3
    66ByeABC
    67Aguia De MarabaBye
    68ByeIndependencia
    69Tuna LusoBye
    70ByeTocantinopolis
    71JuventudeBye
    72GalvezGuapore1 : 2
    73Capital FCBye
    74ByeManaus
    75LondrinaBye
    76ByeSC Penedense
    77BetimPiaui1 : 0
    78ByeOperario-PR
    79JuazeirenseBye
    80ByeCapital
    81ImperatrizBye
    82ByeAmazonas
    83FigueirenseBye
    84ByeAzuriz
    85Santa CruzBye
    86ByeSousa
    87CRBBye
    88Porto-BASerra Branca2 : 1
    89PortuguesaBye
    90ByeAE Altos
    91AvaiBye
    92ByePorto Vitoria
    93Paysandu PABye
    95Portuguesa RJBye
    96ByeMaracana

    1/128-finals
    1BarraBye
    2America MGTirol
    3IvinhemaVolta Redonda
    4America RNGAS3 : 0
    5Desportiva FerroviariaSport Recife
    6AnapolisCianorte3 : 1
    7Rio Branco ESAthletic Club
    8Ypiranga FCJi-Parana2 : 0
    9ManauaraItabaiana
    10FortalezaMaguary4 : 3
    11CastanhalGuarani2 : 1
    12Nova IguacuLagarto
    13Santa CatarinaCuiaba
    14CeilandiaJacuipense1 : 2
    15MixtoBotafogo PB2 : 1
    16NovorizontinoNacional-AM4 : 0
    17Sao LuizMaranhao0 : 1
    18CearaPrimavera2 : 1
    19JoinvilleCSA1 : 0
    20Sao BernardoAlagoinhas2 : 0
    21Velo ClubeVila Nova FC
    22ASAOperario MS1 : 2
    23ConfiancaBye
    24TombenseOratorio2 : 1
    25Ponte PretaBye
    26SER CaxiasGuarany de Bage0 : 1
    27Operario VGPorto Velho1 : 2
    28Atletico GOPrimavera AC1 : 0
    29BoavistaMaringa FC2 : 3
    30RetroUberlandia1 : 2
    31GamaGoias2 : 3
    32TremFluminense-PI
    33MadureiraABC1 : 0
    34Aguia De MarabaIndependencia2 : 0
    35Tuna LusoTocantinopolis
    36JuventudeGuapore
    37Capital FCManaus
    38LondrinaSC Penedense1 : 0
    39BetimOperario-PR
    40JuazeirenseCapital1 : 2
    41ImperatrizAmazonas0 : 3
    42FigueirenseAzuriz
    43Santa CruzSousa
    44CRBPorto-BA
    45PortuguesaAE Altos5 : 1
    46AvaiPorto Vitoria
    47Paysandu PABye
    48Portuguesa RJMaracana

    1/64-finals
    1BarraTBD #2
    2TBD #3America RN
    3TBD #5Anapolis
    4TBD #7Ypiranga FC
    5TBD #9Fortaleza
    6CastanhalTBD #12
    7TBD #13Jacuipense
    8MixtoNovorizontino
    9MaranhaoCeara
    10JoinvilleSao Bernardo
    11TBD #21Operario MS
    12ConfiancaTombense
    13Ponte PretaGuarany de Bage
    14Porto VelhoAtletico GO
    15Maringa FCUberlandia
    16GoiasTBD #32
    17MadureiraAguia De Maraba
    18TBD #35TBD #36
    19TBD #37Londrina
    20TBD #39Capital
    21AmazonasTBD #42
    22TBD #43TBD #44
    23PortuguesaTBD #46
    24Paysandu PATBD #48