Result
3:4
16/11/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 403 | 383 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 315 | 311 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Jose Aldo ⚽, Gabriel Falcao (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Alesson ⚽, Junior Todinho (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Luciano Naninho ⚽, Alesson (A),
- 37', 2 - 2, Leozinho ⚽, Gabriel Falcao (A),
- 41', Emerson Urso ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Guilherme Lazaroni ↓, Richard ↑,
- 50', Alesson ↓, Henrique Almeida ↑,
- 52', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 53', Junior Todinho 🟨,
- 56', 3 - 2, Jemmes ⚽, Luciano Naninho (A),
- 58', Dankler 🟨,
- 58', Jemmes 🟨,
- 61', Gabriel Falcao ↓, Salatiel ↑,
- 61', Bruno Xavier ↓, Neto Berola ↑,
- 64', Rhuan 🟨,
- 65', Leozinho 🟨,
- 70', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
- 71', Junior Todinho ↓, Caique ↑,
- 71', Luciano Naninho ↓, Vanderley ↑,
- 72', Du Fernandes ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
- 75', Leozinho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 76', Vitor Graziani 🟨,
- 80', Yann Rolim 🟨,
- 82', Claudinho ↓, Marcelo Mineiro ↑,
- 84', 3 - 3, Salatiel ⚽, Jose Aldo (A),
- 88', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 90+8', Richard 🟨,
- 90+9', 3 - 4, Vinicius Paiva ⚽, Neto Berola (A),
- 90+10', Vinicius Paiva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
47% | Draw
27.5% | Ituano
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Vila Nova - Ituano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.77) |
3.41 ↓
(3.58) |
3.64 ↓
(4.39) |
7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Ituano?
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2.
- Recent matches Vila Nova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ituano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Vila Nova is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ituano?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano won against Vila Nova?
Ituano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Ituano were as follows:
26.07.2024
Ituano
-
Vila Nova
0:0
08.09.2023
Ituano
-
Vila Nova
1:2
24.05.2023
Vila Nova
-
Ituano
1:0
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
| 2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
| 16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
| 18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
