Arroyo vs Villafranca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Arroyo - Villafranca
Result
1:4
27/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Rivero D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Rios ,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Ouattara A. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Yaw L. J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 4, Ouattara A. ,

Chances of winning


Arroyo
26.5%
Draw
27.4%
Villafranca
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.4% 24.6% 53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1% 24.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villafranca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villafranca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Arroyo - Villafranca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (4.06)
    3.3
    (3.69)
    1.97
    (1.72)
    10.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 2.
    • Arroyo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Villafranca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Villafranca is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arroyo - Villafranca were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Villafranca - Arroyo 4:0
    18.02.2024 Arroyo - Villafranca 0:0
    08.10.2023 Villafranca - Arroyo 1:2
    16.04.2023 Arroyo - Villafranca 1:2
    17.12.2022 Villafranca - Arroyo 0:1
    Latest results of Arroyo
    17.04.2025 Moralo - Arroyo 5:0
    13.04.2025 Arroyo - Diocesano 1:2
    06.04.2025 Azuaga - Arroyo 3:1
    30.03.2025 Arroyo - Castuera 2:2
    23.03.2025 Trujillo - Arroyo 0:0
    Latest results of Villafranca
    17.04.2025 Villafranca - Llerenense 1:4
    13.04.2025 Olivenza - Villafranca 3:6
    06.04.2025 Villafranca - Jerez 3:2
    30.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Villafranca 1:1
    23.03.2025 Villafranca - Calamonte 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2