Montijo vs Villafranca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 1, Quintero J ,

Chances of winning


Montijo
51.9%
Draw
26.6%
Villafranca
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 25.9% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 23.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Montijo - Villafranca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.64)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    4.23
    (4.85)
    10%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
    • In recent matches, Montijo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Villafranca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Montijo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montijo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montijo - Villafranca were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Villafranca - Montijo 2:1
    16.03.2025 Montijo - Villafranca 1:0
    03.11.2024 Villafranca - Montijo 0:2
    Latest results of Montijo
    18.01.2026 Don Benito - Montijo 2:0
    11.01.2026 Santa Amalia - Montijo 1:0
    04.01.2026 Montijo - Azuaga 2:1
    21.12.2025 Gévora - Montijo 1:3
    14.12.2025 Montijo - Calamonte 0:2
    Latest results of Villafranca
    18.01.2026 Villafranca - Moralo 0:1
    11.01.2026 Villafranca - Diocesano 1:0
    04.01.2026 Jerez - Villafranca 1:1
    20.12.2025 Don Benito - Villafranca 3:0
    13.12.2025 Villafranca - Santa Amalia 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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