Villafranca vs Santa Amalia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Villafranca
43.4%
Draw
30.2%
Santa Amalia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.6% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 26.8% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villafranca's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villafranca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Villafranca - Santa Amalia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.83)
    3.02
    (3.3)
    3.45
    (4)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Villafranca is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Villafranca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villafranca - Santa Amalia were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Santa Amalia - Villafranca 1:1
    17.11.2024 Villafranca - Santa Amalia 2:0
    Latest results of Villafranca
    07.12.2025 Azuaga - Villafranca 1:1
    23.11.2025 Villafranca - Gévora 2:0
    16.11.2025 Calamonte - Villafranca 2:2
    02.11.2025 Jaraíz - Villafranca 4:1
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    07.12.2025 Santa Amalia - Don Benito 0:2
    22.11.2025 Santa Amalia - Jerez 2:2
    16.11.2025 Azuaga - Santa Amalia 1:0
    09.11.2025 Santa Amalia - Gévora 1:1
    02.11.2025 Calamonte - Santa Amalia 1:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

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