Jerez vs Santa Amalia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Juanjo ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Daniel C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', 1 - 2, Chavez Chema ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Chavez Chema ,

Chances of winning


Jerez
42.7%
Draw
30.9%
Santa Amalia
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.9% 25.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 24.9% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jerez's form might have worsened.
  • Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Amalia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jerez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Amalia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jerez - Santa Amalia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.85
    (1.67)
    3.95
    (3.5)
    4.62
    (4.44)
    -18%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Jerez is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Jerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jerez - Santa Amalia were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Santa Amalia - Jerez 2:2
    14.12.2024 Santa Amalia - Jerez 1:0
    Latest results of Jerez
    28.03.2026 Llerenense - Jerez 1:1
    22.03.2026 Jerez - Azuaga 2:3
    15.03.2026 Badajoz - Jerez 5:4
    08.03.2026 Jerez - Gévora 3:1
    01.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Jerez 3:2
    Latest results of Santa Amalia
    29.03.2026 Santa Amalia - Azuaga 0:3
    22.03.2026 Gévora - Santa Amalia 3:0
    15.03.2026 Santa Amalia - Calamonte 2:1
    01.03.2026 Santa Amalia - Jaraíz 1:4
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito30197459:194064
    2CD Badajoz30195649:262359
    3Moralo30169549:282157
    4Azuaga30167746:271955
    5Jaraiz301410648:272152
    6Cabeza del Buey301312539:231651
    7Villafranca301361136:35145
    8Villanovense301281037:33444
    9Montijo301171236:34240
    10Jerez CF30717650:44638
    11Llerenense301061428:36-836
    12Santa Amalia30961529:46-1733
    13Puebla307111228:40-1232
    14Diocesano306101428:49-2128
    15Gevora30681628:48-2026
    16Pueblonuevo30751824:51-2726
    17CD Calamonte303131422:36-1422
    18Montehermoso30571820:54-3422

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