Gran Peña vs Villalonga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Gran Peña - Villalonga
Result
3:1
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 1, ,
  • 67', 2 - 1, ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, ,
  • 83', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Gran Peña
44.2%
Draw
27.6%
Villalonga
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 28.7% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Villalonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villalonga than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Gran Peña - Villalonga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.05)
    3.31
    (3.23)
    3.23
    (3.22)
    9.7%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent form of Gran Peña has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Villalonga has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gran Peña may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Villalonga has had a series of home games.
    • Gran Peña could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gran Peña - Villalonga were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Villalonga - Gran Peña 1:1
    Latest results of Gran Peña
    27.04.2025 Valladares - Gran Peña 0:0
    20.04.2025 Gran Peña - Arosa 1:2
    17.04.2025 Barbadás - Gran Peña 2:0
    06.04.2025 Gran Peña - UD Ourense 1:1
    Latest results of Villalonga
    01.05.2025 Villalonga - Betanzos 0:3
    26.04.2025 Villalonga - Somozas 0:1
    20.04.2025 Boiro - Villalonga 0:0
    17.04.2025 Villalonga - Alondras 2:1
    12.04.2025 Villalonga - Barbadás 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2