Alcalá vs Villanueva del Pardillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Alcalá - Villanueva del Pardillo
Result
1:1
09/03/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 24

Chances of winning


Alcalá
59%
Draw
25.4%
Villanueva del Pardillo
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 31.3% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 30.4% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.
  • Villanueva del Pardillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanueva del Pardillo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanueva del Pardillo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villanueva del Pardillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alcalá - Villanueva del Pardillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (2.22)
    3.56
    (2.9)
    5.81
    (3.28)
    10.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
    • Alcalá is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Villanueva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Alcalá is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Villanueva del Pardillo were as follows:
    21.10.2023 Villanueva del Pardillo - Alcalá 0:1
    Latest results of Alcalá
    25.02.2024 Alcalá - Trival Valderas 1:1
    18.02.2024 Alcalá - Las Rozas 1:1
    11.02.2024 Alcalá - Collado Villalba 1:0
    04.02.2024 Galapagar - Alcalá 3:3
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2