Villarreal vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports Golf
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, Space Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, TNT Sports 1, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.51
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
84% (282/335)93% (623/672)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.352.76
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
84% (282/335)93% (623/672)
Long passes
40% (17/42)59% (17/29)
Passes in final third
70% (82/117)88% (129/147)
Crosses
33% (5/15)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.90
Throw-ins
1010
Fouls
1715
Tackles
61% (11/18)64% (9/14)
Duels won
3649
Clearances
1422
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.760.35
Goals prevented
0.760.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Pedraza A. 🟨,
  • 17', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Lewis R. (A),
  • 22', Silva B. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 2, Silva B. ⚽, Savinho (A),
  • 45', Mourino S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
  • 53', Marcelino 🟨,
  • 57', Nico ↓, Kovacic M. ↑,
  • 65', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 66', Mikautadze G. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
  • 66', Buchanan T. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
  • 72', Comesana S. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
  • 72', Doku J. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
  • 73', Lewis R. ↓, Reijnders T. ↑,
  • 75', Gueye P. 🟨,
  • 81', Gueye P. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
  • 85', Moleiro A. 🟨,
  • 86', Haaland E. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 86', Savinho ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,

Chances of winning


Villarreal
8.3%		Draw
19.5%		Manchester City
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.5% 23.4% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7% 22.5% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal's form might have worsened.
  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Villarreal - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 15.96 ↑
    (4.43)    		 6.29 ↑
    (4.08)    		 1.54 ↓
    (1.73)    		 -12.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Villarreal - Manchester City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Man City (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Man City (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (80 of 91 users predict this - 87.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.21% – 94.61%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 36 - 92.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Villarreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Man City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Man City is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Muscle Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury) Phillips K. (Inactive) Rodri (Hamstring Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Villarreal
    18.10.2025 Villarreal - Betis 2:2 ✺
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1 ✺
    01.10.2025 Villarreal - Juventus 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    18.10.2025 Manchester City - Everton 2:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Brentford - Manchester City 0:1 ✺
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2 ✺
    27.09.2025 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Huddersfield Town - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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