Result
3:3
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (71/111) | 62% (74/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽, Gallardo N. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 33', Vega E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Cabeza E. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. ⚽, Vega E. (A),
- 49', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽,
- 61', Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 61', Coba K. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 61', Ushina K. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Monti R. ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 3, Ibarra R. ⚽,
- 80', Perez Tica J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
- 80', Reyes M. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 84', Julio M. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 86', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 88', Luna D. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Delfín
51.8% | Draw
27.6% | Vinotinto
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.18) |
3.42 ↑
(3.21) |
4.7 ↑
(3.32) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Vinotinto?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Vinotinto (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Delfín will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Delfín will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Delfín (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Vinotinto (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Vinotinto?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Delfín?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Vinotinto were as follows:
09.04.2025
Vinotinto
-
Delfín
5:0
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
