Delfín vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Delfín - Vinotinto
Result
3:3
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.60
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (284/371)69% (231/336)
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.200.60
xG on target (xGOT)
1.091.96
Total shots
186
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
77% (284/371)69% (231/336)
Long passes
44% (32/73)42% (29/69)
Passes in final third
64% (71/111)62% (74/120)
Crosses
18% (4/22)32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.24
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1412
Tackles
79% (15/19)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5564
Clearances
2629
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
1.961.09
Goals prevented
-1.04-1.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. , Gallardo N. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Monti R. , Luna D. (A),
  • 33', Vega E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Cabeza E. , Batalla H. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. , Vega E. (A),
  • 49', Ushina K. 🟨,
  • 52', 3 - 1, Mendoza E. ,
  • 61', Rodriguez E. , Gomez L. ,
  • 61', Coba K. , Larotonda C. ,
  • 61', Ushina K. , Mina A. ,
  • 67', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 71', 3 - 2, Monti R. ,
  • 75', 3 - 3, Ibarra R. ,
  • 80', Perez Tica J. , Nazareno J. ,
  • 80', Reyes M. , Vivar J. ,
  • 84', Julio M. , Melo A. ,
  • 86', Hernandez E. 🟨,
  • 88', Luna D. , Iriarte I. ,

Chances of winning


Delfín
51.8%
Draw
27.6%
Vinotinto
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 28.2% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.
  • Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Delfín - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.18)
    3.42
    (3.21)
    4.7
    (3.32)
    5.8%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Delfín - Vinotinto?
  • Users Predictions: Delfín will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Delfín will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
    • Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Vinotinto were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Vinotinto - Delfín 5:0
    Latest results of Delfín
    26.07.2025 SD Aucas - Delfín 2:1
    13.07.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín 1:1
    06.07.2025 Delfín - LDU Quito 0:4
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    26.07.2025 Vinotinto - Orense 0:1
    13.07.2025 Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    Placement Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Dep. Cuenca311371136:32446
    8Emelec311291033:35-245
    9Aucas301181138:41-341
    10Macara309111032:30238
    11EL Nacional31981434:48-1435
    12Delfin316141128:44-1632

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )