Result
3:3
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 42% (29/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (71/111) | 62% (74/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽, Gallardo N. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 33', Vega E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Cabeza E. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. ⚽, Vega E. (A),
- 49', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽,
- 61', Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 61', Coba K. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 61', Ushina K. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Monti R. ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 3, Ibarra R. ⚽,
- 80', Perez Tica J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
- 80', Reyes M. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 84', Julio M. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 86', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 88', Luna D. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Delfín
51.8% | Draw
27.6% | Vinotinto
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.18) |
3.42 ↑
(3.21) |
4.7 ↑
(3.32) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Delfín will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Delfín will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Vinotinto?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Delfín?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Vinotinto were as follows:
09.04.2025
Vinotinto
-
Delfín
5:0
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 39:34 | 5 | 49 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Aucas | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 10 | Macara | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39:34 | 5 | 44 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 36:50 | -14 | 38 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
