Result
3:3
04/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 0.60 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.20 | 0.60 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.09 | 1.96 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
77% (284/371) | 69% (231/336) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (32/73) | 42% (29/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (71/111) | 62% (74/120) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 32% (8/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.36 | 1.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (15/19) | 89% (16/18) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 29 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.96 | 1.09 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.04 | -1.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mendoza E. ⚽, Gallardo N. (A),
- 26', 1 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
- 33', Vega E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Cabeza E. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. ⚽, Vega E. (A),
- 49', Ushina K. 🟨,
- 52', 3 - 1, Mendoza E. ⚽,
- 61', Rodriguez E. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 61', Coba K. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 61', Ushina K. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
- 67', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 2, Monti R. ⚽,
- 75', 3 - 3, Ibarra R. ⚽,
- 80', Perez Tica J. ↓, Nazareno J. ↑,
- 80', Reyes M. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
- 84', Julio M. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 86', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 88', Luna D. ↓, Iriarte I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Delfín 51.8% | Draw 27.6% | Vinotinto 20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinotinto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinotinto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Delfín - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↓ (2.18) |
3.42 ↑ (3.21) |
4.7 ↑ (3.32) |
5.8% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Delfín - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
Delfín will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Delfín will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
- Delfín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Delfín won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Delfín won against Vinotinto?
Delfín has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Delfín?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Delfín - Vinotinto were as follows:
09.04.2025
Vinotinto
-
Delfín
5:0
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )