Result
3:0
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (508/563) | 81% (261/322) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.22 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (508/563) | 81% (261/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (39/61) | 44% (25/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (138/169) | 60% (41/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lugo J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 65', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 65', Larotonda C. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Anangono G. ⚽,
- 71', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 71', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽,
- 76', Sevillano M. 🟨,
- 79', Ushina K. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
- 82', Alonso M. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.9% | Draw
24.9% | Vinotinto
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.44) |
3.72 ↓
(4.35) |
4.6 ↓
(6.42) |
8%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Uni Católica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Vinotinto?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto were as follows:
29.03.2025
Vinotinto
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
