Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto
Result
3:0
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 21
  • Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas
peruPeruZapping Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.18
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
214
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
90% (508/563)81% (261/322)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.470.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.220.00
Total shots
214
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
413
Passes
90% (508/563)81% (261/322)
Long passes
64% (39/61)44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
82% (138/169)60% (41/68)
Crosses
27% (4/15)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.15
Throw-ins
1216
Fouls
134
Tackles
80% (8/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3135
Clearances
1019
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.002.22
Goals prevented
0.00-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Cacciabue J. , Moreno L. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. , Londono A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Lugo J. , Luna D. ,
  • 65', Melo A. , Julio M. ,
  • 65', Larotonda C. , Coba K. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Anangono G. ,
  • 71', Diaz M. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 71', Mejia E. , Valencia E. ,
  • 72', 3 - 0, Alonso M. ,
  • 76', Sevillano M. 🟨,
  • 79', Ushina K. , Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ,
  • 82', Alonso M. , Yanez Zambrano S. ,
  • 83', Palacios B. , Sanchez I. ,

Chances of winning


Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.9%
Draw
24.9%
Vinotinto
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 21.3% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 16.1% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.
  • Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.44)
    3.72
    (4.35)
    4.6
    (6.42)
    8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Uni Católica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Vinotinto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:2
    Latest results of Vinotinto
    13.07.2025 Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa 1:1
    05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0
    30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1
    14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2LDU Quito23127440:221843
    3Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    6Aucas23105832:33-135
    7U. Catolica2397744:311334
    8Libertad2397734:30434
    9Emelec2387822:27-531
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta23581030:41-1123
    15Tecnico U23571123:34-1122
    16Mushuc Runa23451425:41-1617

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )