Result
3:0
19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.18 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
90% (508/563) | 81% (261/322) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.18 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.22 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
21 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
34 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
90% (508/563) | 81% (261/322) |
Long passes |
---|
64% (39/61) | 44% (25/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (138/169) | 60% (41/68) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (4/15) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.15 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 4 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
10 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 2.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lugo J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 65', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 65', Larotonda C. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 0, Anangono G. ⚽,
- 71', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 71', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽,
- 76', Sevillano M. 🟨,
- 79', Ushina K. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
- 82', Alonso M. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
- 83', Palacios B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador 54.9% | Draw 24.9% | Vinotinto 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↑ (1.44) |
3.72 ↓ (4.35) |
4.6 ↓ (6.42) |
8% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Uni Católica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vinotinto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Vinotinto?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto were as follows:
29.03.2025
Vinotinto
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:2
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )