Universidad Católica del Ecuador vs Vinotinto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito).

Liga Pro - Round 21
Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas
Peru	Zapping Sports

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.18
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
21	4
Shots on target
9	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
90% (508/563)	81% (261/322)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47	0.18
xG on target (xGOT)
2.22	0.00
Total shots
21	4
Shots on target
9	0
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	1
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
34	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
4	13
Passes
90% (508/563)	81% (261/322)
Long passes
64% (39/61)	44% (25/57)
Passes in final third
82% (138/169)	60% (41/68)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.15
Throw-ins
12	16
Fouls
13	4
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
31	35
Clearances
10	19
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	6
xGOT faced
0.00	2.22
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Cacciabue J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Clavijo E. ⚽, Londono A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lugo J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
65', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
65', Larotonda C. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Anangono G. ⚽,
71', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Mejia E. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Alonso M. ⚽,
76', Sevillano M. 🟨,
79', Ushina K. ↓, Carrasco Bonilla M. A. ↑,
82', Alonso M. ↓, Yanez Zambrano S. ↑,
83', Palacios B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,

Chances of winning

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.9%

Draw
24.9%

Vinotinto
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

16.1%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica del Ecuador's form might have worsened.

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vinotinto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica del Ecuador that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.44)	3.72 ↓ (4.35)	4.6 ↓ (6.42)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
Uni Católica has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vinotinto has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Uni Católica is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Católica won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Vinotinto?

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?

Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Vinotinto were as follows:

29.03.2025 Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 3:2

Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:1 ✺

29.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

25.06.2025 Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec 1:1 ✺

21.06.2025 El Nacional - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Vinotinto

13.07.2025 Vinotinto - Mushuc Runa 1:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Emelec - Vinotinto 2:0 ✺

30.06.2025 Vinotinto - SD Aucas 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Deportivo Macará - Vinotinto 1:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Vinotinto - LDU Quito 1:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle ✔	28	18	8	2	53:21	32	62
2	LDU Quito	28	13	9	6	43:26	17	48
3	Barcelona SC	27	14	5	8	40:32	8	47
4	Orense	28	13	6	9	34:32	2	45
5	U. Catolica	28	11	10	7	52:36	16	43
6	Dep. Cuenca	27	12	7	8	32:26	6	43
7	Libertad	28	11	9	8	40:35	5	42
8	Aucas	27	11	5	11	36:39	-3	38
9	Emelec	27	10	8	9	26:30	-4	38
10	EL Nacional	27	9	7	11	32:35	-3	34
11	Macara	27	7	10	10	26:28	-2	31
12	Delfin	28	6	12	10	26:41	-15	30
13	Manta	27	5	10	12	31:45	-14	25
14	Tecnico U	27	6	7	14	24:41	-17	25
15	Vinotinto	28	6	6	16	30:41	-11	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	28	6	5	17	31:48	-17	23

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )