Result
0:3
16/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
- 37', Tavernelli C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Paganini L. 🟨,
- 57', Ceccacci M. 🟨,
- 60', Righetti S. 🟨,
- 61', Di Renzo G. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 2, Ravasio M. ⚽,
- 70', Nicastro F. ↓, Machin J. ↑,
- 70', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
- 70', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
- 70', Pattarello E. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
- 73', Paganini L. 🟨,
- 77', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
- 77', Tavernelli C. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
- 84', Stabile D. P. ↓, Franchetti Rosada L. ↑,
- 84', Di Paola M. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
- 90', Machin J. 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 3, Cianci P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vis Pesaro
24.9% | Draw
30.6% | Arezzo
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arezzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vis Pesaro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vis Pesaro - Arezzo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.66 ↓
(4.5) |
2.97 ↓
(3.23) |
2.04 ↑
(1.8) |
9.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vis Pesaro - Arezzo?
Users Predictions:
Arezzo will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arezzo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Vis Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arezzo is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Vis Pesaro won against Arezzo?
Vis Pesaro has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arezzo won against Vis Pesaro?
Arezzo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vis Pesaro - Arezzo were as follows:
06.09.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
1:0
07.05.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
0:1
06.01.2025
Arezzo
-
Vis Pesaro
0:0
02.09.2024
Vis Pesaro
-
Arezzo
3:0
11.08.2024
Vis Pesaro
-
Arezzo
1:3
Latest results of Vis Pesaro
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
