Result
2:3 penalties
18/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (212/324) | 79% (341/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (212/324) | 79% (341/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/72) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (58/105) | 72% (108/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Komatsu R. ⚽, Thuler M. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Hummet D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Diego ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
- 46', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
- 59', Welton ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 64', Skibbe M. 🟨,
- 72', Suzuki T. ↓, Mito R. ↑,
- 73', Jebali I. ↓, Okunuki K. ↑,
- 73', Sasaki D. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
- 73', Goke Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 80', Hatsuse R. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 2, Yamashita R. ⚽, Hummet D. (A),
- 86', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 89', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 90', Hirose R. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
- 90', Yamashita R. ↓, Ikegaya G. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Jean Patric ⚽, Hamasaki K. (A),
- Penalties (3 - 5)
- 1, Minamino H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Thuler M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Meshino R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Ogihara T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Abe S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Jean Patric (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Okunuki K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nagato K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Miura G. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
52.6% | Draw
26% | Gamba Osaka
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.79) |
3.61 ↓
(3.79) |
4.41 ↑
(4.24) |
6.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
Iwanami T.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Fukuoka S.
(Injury)
Ichimori J.
(Injury)
Kishimoto T.
(Red Card)
Nakano S.
(Injury)
Uenaka A.
(Injury)
Usami T.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Gamba Osaka: Sasaki S.
(Injury)
Yokoi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Vissel Kobe will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Gamba Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
09.11.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
1:1
17.05.2025
Vissel Kobe
-
Gamba Osaka
3:2
23.11.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
0:1
17.08.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
22.06.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
2:1
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 19 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Machida | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Urawa Reds | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 5 | Verdy | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Mito | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 5 |
| 10 | Chiba | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gamba Osaka | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 4 | Nagoya Grampus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Okayama | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 3 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
