Result
3:2
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Indonesia | PSJ TV |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (334/446) | 75% (286/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (334/446) | 75% (286/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (31/76) | 19% (11/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (104/174) | 67% (89/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Thuler 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Lavi N. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Osako Y. ⚽, Sakai G. (A),
- 56', 1 - 1, Kurata S. ⚽, Kurokawa K. (A),
- 60', 2 - 1, Thuler ⚽, Honda Y. (A),
- 67', Erik ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
- 67', Hummet D. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Kurokawa K. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
- 83', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 83', Juan Alano ↓, Welton ↑,
- 83', Miyashiro T. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
- 90+3', Usami T. ↓, Egawa Y. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Osako Y. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
- 90+8', Osako Y. ↓, Iino N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vissel Kobe
48.9% | Draw
27.2% | Gamba Osaka
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.9) |
3.45 ↑
(3.42) |
3.96 ↓
(4.12) |
6.2%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
Vissel Kobe will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Vissel Kobe has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Lavi N.
(Injury)
Okunuki K.
(Inactive)
Suzuki T.
(Red Card)
Welton
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vissel Kobe won against Gamba Osaka?
Vissel Kobe has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Vissel Kobe?
Gamba Osaka has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vissel Kobe - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
23.11.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
0:1
17.08.2024
Vissel Kobe
-
Gamba Osaka
2:2
22.06.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
2:1
03.12.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Vissel Kobe
0:1
04.03.2023
Vissel Kobe
-
Gamba Osaka
4:0
Latest results of Vissel Kobe
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
