Result
2:0
01/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 18
- Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/382) | 77% (286/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (291/382) | 77% (286/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/60) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (41/63) | 65% (75/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 32% (12/38) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.70 | -1.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Unuvar E. 🟨,
- 24', O'Niel D. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Konadu D. ⚽, Unuvar E. (A),
- 39', Schikora M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', 2 - 0, O'Niel D. ⚽, Peters T. (A),
- 62', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 65', 🟨,
- 71', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 71', Zonneveld N. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 75', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 76', Butera E. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
- 76', Vink S. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 80', Marschalk M. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 85', Unuvar E. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
29.7% | Draw
24.3% | Vitesse
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Jong Ajax - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.77) |
3.84 ↑
(3.81) |
2.04 ↓
(2.24) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Vitesse?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Vitesse will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitesse: 56% – 94%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Vitesse (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Vitesse (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vitesse will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 19).
- Jong Ajax has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Vitesse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitesse might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Jong Ajax won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Vitesse?
Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Jong Ajax?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Vitesse were as follows:
14.04.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Vitesse
1:1
21.09.2024
Vitesse
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 32 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 72:31 | 41 | 74 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 63:33 | 30 | 70 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 58:49 | 9 | 52 |
| 4 | Willem II | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Jong PSV | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:56 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Almere City | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 66:53 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:47 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 43 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 55:57 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | 45:55 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Venlo | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39:49 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 36 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 48:54 | -6 | 36 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 39:61 | -22 | 36 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 49:49 | 0 | 33 |
| 17 | Helmond | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 37:56 | -19 | 33 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | -12 | 32 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 53:63 | -10 | 31 |
| 20 | Oss | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
