Result
6:1
06/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 35
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/348) | 84% (422/501) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.88 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.61 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (262/348) | 84% (422/501) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (79/113) | 67% (80/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (23/31) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 4.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', Heerkens J. ↓, el Hani A. ↑,
- 25', Schwarz R. 🟨,
- 34', Butera E. 🟨,
- 43', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Tahaui A. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', van der Lans M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,
- 54', 3 - 0, Zonneveld N. ⚽, Bannis N. (A),
- 58', Tahaui A. ↓, Marschalk M. ↑,
- 58', Schwarz R. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
- 63', O'Niel D. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
- 63', Ouazane A. ↓, Verkuijl M. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Peters T. ⚽, Abdalla M. (A),
- 69', 4 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Achouitar O. (A),
- 77', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 77', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
- 82', 5 - 1, Zumberi V. ⚽, Marschalk M. (A),
- 82', Abdalla M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 90+1', 6 - 1, Marschalk M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vitesse
58.7% | Draw
22.2% | Jong Ajax
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Vitesse - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.58) |
4.22 ↓
(4.3) |
4.93 ↑
(4.59) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Vitesse - Jong Ajax?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Vitesse will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19).
- Vitesse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong Ajax has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Vitesse is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Vitesse won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Jong Ajax?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Vitesse?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitesse - Jong Ajax were as follows:
01.12.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Vitesse
2:0
14.04.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Vitesse
1:1
21.09.2024
Vitesse
-
Jong Ajax
2:2
Latest results of Vitesse
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
