Result
3:0
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 28
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/370) | 81% (385/478) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.33 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (294/370) | 81% (385/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (27/63) | 55% (37/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (76/108) | 67% (102/152) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 3.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', Tahaui A. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Hoogma J. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Culum A. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
- 45+2', Doodeman N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hoogma J. ↓, Mathijsen J. ↑,
- 60', Marschalk M. 🟨,
- 65', Verheydt T. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 68', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
- 68', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Behounek R. ⚽, Culum A. (A),
- 75', Culum A. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 75', Zarrouk A. ↓, Besselink G. ↑,
- 84', Schwarz R. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
- 84', Pinto J. ↓, te Veluwe K. ↑,
- 88', Doodeman N. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 88', Haen D. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
- 89', Tahaui A. ↓, Ouallil Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Ouallil Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Willem II
49% | Draw
23.8% | Vitesse
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Willem II - Vitesse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.82) |
3.92 ↑
(3.8) |
3.43 ↓
(3.45) |
7.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Willem II - Vitesse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Willem II will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
- Willem II is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Vitesse has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Willem II might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:23. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Vitesse?
Willem II has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitesse won against Willem II?
Vitesse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Vitesse were as follows:
27.09.2025
Vitesse
-
Willem II
1:2
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Vitesse
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
