Result
1:1
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Lajense
25.6% | Draw
31.1% | Vitória de Sernache
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lajense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lajense than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitória de Sernache could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lajense - Vitória de Sernache Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↓
(3.65) |
2.9 ↓
(3.13) |
2.08 ↑
(1.94) |
10.9%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Recent performances by Lajense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sernache is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sernache is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lajense won against Vitória de Sernache?
Lajense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória de Sernache won against Lajense?
Vitória de Sernache has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lajense - Vitória de Sernache were as follows:
16.11.2025
Vitória de Sernache
-
Lajense
2:0
Latest results of Lajense
Latest results of Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
