Vitoria Guimarães B vs Marco 09 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
85
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
02
Total shots
124
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Oliveira A. 🟨,
  • 36', Pedro M. 🟨,
  • 45', Nunes H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Ribeiro P. , Sousa V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tepe M. , Carvalho D. ,
  • 56', Sousa V. 🟥,
  • 57', Nandinho 🟨,
  • 63', Kibe , Sousa B. ,
  • 69', Pedro M. 🟨,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Nunes H. ,
  • 73', Duarte D. , Matos T. ,
  • 73', Mauro Ribeiro , Andrezinho ,
  • 73', Duarte R. , Vieira A. ,
  • 74', Paula G. , Martins J. ,
  • 81', Fernando Silva , Miguel Vaz ,
  • 89', Andrezinho 🟨,
  • 90+4', Sousa B. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Martins J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães B
42.6%
Draw
29.7%
Marco 09
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 26.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães B that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.22)
    3.11
    (3.1)
    3.35
    (3.32)
    8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Guimarães B has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marco is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Guimarães B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Guimarães B could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09 were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B 0:0
    25.05.2025 Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B 1:1
    04.05.2025 Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09 3:2
    17.03.2024 Marco 09 - Vitoria Guimarães B 3:0
    03.12.2023 Vitoria Guimarães B - Marco 09 1:1
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
    Latest results of Marco 09
    01.11.2025 Varzim - Marco 09 2:1
    25.10.2025 Marco 09 - Trofense 1:1
    18.10.2025 Marco 09 - Farense 0:3
    05.10.2025 Paredes - Marco 09 2:0
    28.09.2025 Marco 09 - Braga B 2:2
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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