Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Reko Silva 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Nuninho ⚽,
- 41', Diarra M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Cunha G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Opara E. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
- 48', Ruca 🟨,
- 52', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
- 58', 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Miguel Vaz ⚽,
- 62', Nuninho 🟨,
- 62', Verdi S. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Diarra M. ⚽,
- 68', Verdi S. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
- 68', Lobo G. ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 76', Blanco F. ↓, Paula G. ↑,
- 77', Oliveira J. ↓, Diagne O. ↑,
- 77', Ruca ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
- 77', Reko Silva ↓, Saldanha F. ↑,
- 82', Tepe M. ↓, Carreira D. ↑,
- 82', Zeega ↓, Bruma ↑,
- 87', Diarra M. ↓, Assis Cardoso R. H. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitoria Guimarães B
44.6% | Draw
29% | Trofense
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.19) |
3.18 ↑
(2.89) |
3.51 ↑
(3.45) |
8.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- Guimarães B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Trofense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Guimarães B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães B won against Trofense?
Vitoria Guimarães B has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Vitoria Guimarães B?
Trofense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães B - Trofense were as follows:
04.01.2026
Trofense
-
Vitoria Guimarães B
0:1
28.09.2025
Vitoria Guimarães B
-
Trofense
1:2
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães B
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
