Result
26/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Guelho S. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Chances of winning
Famalicão
48.5% | Draw
28.6% | Vitoria Guimarães
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.91) |
3.3 ↓
(3.36) |
4.06 ↓
(4.13) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guimarães will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 1.
- In recent matches, Famalicão has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Guimarães is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Famalicão is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
Pastor G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Gustavo
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Beney R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Famalicão has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Famalicão?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
08.02.2025
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
0:0
01.09.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Famalicão
2:1
09.03.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Famalicão
1:0
08.10.2023
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:3
14.04.2023
Famalicão
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:1
Latest results of Famalicão
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
