Vitoria Guimarães vs Mladá Boleslav – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/11/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 17
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 16
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.930.95
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
2512
Shots on Goal
125
Shots off Goal
104
Blocked Shots
33
Free Kicks
85
Corner Kicks
114
Offsides
01
Throw-ins
1916
Goalkeeper Saves
410
Fouls
58
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
466423
Completed Passes
387337
Crosses Completed
85
Interceptions
1111

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Tiago Silva (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Marecek D. , Vojta M. ,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Rivas Viondi O. , Manu (A),
  • 64', Kaio Cesar , Gustavo ,
  • 64', Tiago Silva , Handel T. ,
  • 65', Varela B. 🟨,
  • 68', Sakala B. , Langhamer D. ,
  • 71', Arcanjo T. , Ze Carlos ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Kusej V. , Kralik M. (A),
  • 74', Kral T. , Stransky V. ,
  • 77', Vojta M. 🟨,
  • 85', Mendes J. , Santos N. ,
  • 85', Ramirez J. , Oliveira N. ,
  • 85', Suchy M. , Pulkrab M. ,

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
74.4%
Draw
17.1%
Mladá Boleslav
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.1% 14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 20.3% 13.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitoria Guimarães's performance.
  • Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mladá Boleslav might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Mladá Boleslav Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.4)
    5.53
    (4.3)
    10.9
    (6.5)
    6.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Mladá Boleslav?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 25 - 83.3%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 70%96.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Guimarães is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Mladá Boleslav is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Guimarães have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Guimarães is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury) Masek L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guimarães: Fernandes J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2