Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 2
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
36% | 64% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
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84% (313/373) | 90% (597/661) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.23 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.30 | 2.62 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
2 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
7 | 28 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 7 |
Passes |
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84% (313/373) | 90% (597/661) |
Long passes |
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40% (16/40) | 53% (18/34) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (36/64) | 80% (165/205) |
Crosses |
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25% (2/8) | 8% (1/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.15 | 0.96 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 17 |
Tackles |
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50% (5/10) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 42 |
Clearances Total |
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33 | 14 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.62 | 0.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.62 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Everton ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 59', de la Cruz N. ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 59', Ricardo ↓, Leo Pereira ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽,
- 68', Juninho ↓, Michael ↑,
- 68', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Luiz Araujo ↑,
- 74', Willian Oliveira ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
- 74', Janderson ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Wellington Rato ⚽, Erick (A),
- 85', Erick ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Bruno Henrique ⚽, Luiz Araujo (A),
- 90', Gerson ↓, Evertton Araujo ↑,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador 19.2% | Draw 28.6% | Flamengo 52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Vitória Salvador - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.9 ↑ (4.45) |
3.33 ↓ (3.52) |
1.83 ↓ (1.83) |
5.2% (5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Flamengo?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Flamengo will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
- Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Flamengo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
- There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo
(Hamstring Injury)
Gerson
(Hamstring Injury)
Pedro
(Knee Injury)
Vina M.
(Knee Injury)
de Arrascaeta G.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Flamengo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vitória Salvador?
Flamengo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Flamengo were as follows:
08.12.2024
Flamengo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
24.07.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Flamengo
1:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:9 | 18 | 34 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29:6 | 23 | 33 |
3 | Palmeiras | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Bragantino | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 27 |
5 | Botafogo RJ | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 10 | 25 |
6 | Bahia | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Mirassol | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
8 | Fluminense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 20 |
9 | Atletico-MG | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 20 |
10 | Internacional | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 20 |
11 | Corinthians | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 19 |
13 | Ceara | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Gremio | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
15 | Vitoria | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Vasco | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 |
17 | Santos | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
18 | Juventude | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:29 | -19 | 11 |
19 | Fortaleza | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 11 |
20 | Sport Recife | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7:23 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet