Vitória Salvador vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Flamengo
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 2
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.43
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (313/373)90% (597/661)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.302.62
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
728
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
177
Passes
84% (313/373)90% (597/661)
Long passes
40% (16/40)53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
56% (36/64)80% (165/205)
Crosses
25% (2/8)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.96
Fouls
717
Tackles
50% (5/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4542
Clearances Total
3314
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.620.30
Goals prevented
0.62-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', Everton , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 59', de la Cruz N. , Plata G. ,
  • 59', Ricardo , Leo Pereira ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ,
  • 68', Juninho , Michael ,
  • 68', de Arrascaeta G. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 74', Willian Oliveira , Wellington Rato ,
  • 74', Janderson , Fabricio ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Wellington Rato , Erick (A),
  • 85', Erick , Osvaldo ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Bruno Henrique , Luiz Araujo (A),
  • 90', Gerson , Evertton Araujo ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
19.2%
Draw
28.6%
Flamengo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.9% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26.6% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (4.45)
    3.33
    (3.52)
    1.83
    (1.83)
    5.2%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Flamengo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
    • Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Flamengo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Hamstring Injury) Gerson (Hamstring Injury) Pedro (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de Arrascaeta G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Flamengo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Flamengo - Vitória Salvador 2:2
    24.07.2024 Vitória Salvador - Flamengo 1:2
    Latest results of Flamengo
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    08.03.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ18124233:82540
    2Cruzeiro19114431:131837
    3Palmeiras17113323:15836
    4Bahia1786323:16730
    5Botafogo RJ1785423:101329
    6Mirassol1777328:181028
    7Sao Paulo1977522:20228
    8Bragantino1983822:25-327
    9Fluminense1773721:23-224
    10Atletico-MG1766519:18124
    11Internacional1866621:23-224
    12Ceara1864818:19-122
    13Corinthians1957718:23-522
    14Santos1863920:23-321
    15Gremio1855816:24-820
    16Vitoria1939716:22-618
    17Vasco1744919:24-516
    18Fortaleza1836918:29-1115
    19Juventude17421113:36-2314
    20Sport Recife17161010:25-159

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