Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 3
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/330) | 80% (352/438) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/330) | 80% (352/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (13/45) | 39% (17/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 74% (88/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/21) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.40 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.12 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Pulgar E. ⚽, Everton (A),
- 27', Everton 🟨,
- 30', Matheuzinho 🟨,
- 36', Leo Pereira 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Everton ⚽, Leo Ortiz (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
- 52', 1 - 2, Matheuzinho ⚽, Baralhas (A),
- 53', Evertton Araujo 🟨,
- 56', Lucas Paqueta ↓, Carrascal J. ↑,
- 56', Pedro ↓, Plata G. ↑,
- 64', Renato Kayzer (Penalty Awarded),
- 65', Evertton Araujo ↓, de la Cruz N. ↑,
- 65', Everton ↓, Samuel Lino ↑,
- 67', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
- 67', Matheuzinho ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
- 78', Renato Kayzer ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 79', Dudu ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
- 82', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
- 87', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
- 89', Ramon ↓, Lucas Silva ↑,
- 90+5', Alex Sandro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vitória Salvador
16.6% | Draw
25% | Flamengo
58.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória Salvador, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vitória Salvador - Flamengo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.66 ↑
(4.83) |
3.76 ↑
(3.63) |
1.63 ↓
(1.66) |
5.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Flamengo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Flamengo will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 57.1% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Flamengo (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - Flamengo (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Flamengo (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
- In recent matches, Vitória has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Flamengo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
Edu
(Injury)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Lopez R.
(Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
Pedro H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Flamengo: Niguez S.
(Heel Injury)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Ze Marcos
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Flamengo?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Flamengo won against Vitória Salvador?
Flamengo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Flamengo were as follows:
25.08.2025
Flamengo
-
Vitória Salvador
8:0
06.04.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Flamengo
1:2
08.12.2024
Flamengo
-
Vitória Salvador
2:2
24.07.2024
Vitória Salvador
-
Flamengo
1:2
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Latest results of Flamengo
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bahia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Bragantino | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Chapecoense-SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Mirassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Gremio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 | Remo | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Vasco | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Santos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Internacional | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
