Vitória Salvador vs Flamengo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Flamengo
Result
1:2
06/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 2
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.43
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (313/373)90% (597/661)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.231.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.302.62
Total shots
514
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
728
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
177
Passes
84% (313/373)90% (597/661)
Long passes
40% (16/40)53% (18/34)
Passes in final third
56% (36/64)80% (165/205)
Crosses
25% (2/8)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.150.96
Fouls
717
Tackles
50% (5/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4542
Clearances Total
3314
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.620.30
Goals prevented
0.62-0.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', Everton , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 59', de la Cruz N. , Plata G. ,
  • 59', Ricardo , Leo Pereira ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ,
  • 68', Juninho , Michael ,
  • 68', de Arrascaeta G. , Luiz Araujo ,
  • 74', Willian Oliveira , Wellington Rato ,
  • 74', Janderson , Fabricio ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Wellington Rato , Erick (A),
  • 85', Erick , Osvaldo ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Bruno Henrique , Luiz Araujo (A),
  • 90', Gerson , Evertton Araujo ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
19.2%
Draw
28.6%
Flamengo
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.9% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 26.6% 52.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Vitória Salvador - Flamengo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (4.45)
    3.33
    (3.52)
    1.83
    (1.83)
    5.2%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Flamengo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Vitória (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Flamengo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 0.
    • Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Flamengo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Flamengo is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Renato Kayzer (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Flamengo: Danilo (Hamstring Injury) Gerson (Hamstring Injury) Pedro (Knee Injury) Vina M. (Knee Injury) de Arrascaeta G. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:22 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória Salvador - Flamengo were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Flamengo - Vitória Salvador 2:2
    24.07.2024 Vitória Salvador - Flamengo 1:2
    Latest results of Flamengo
    12.03.2025 Fluminense - Flamengo 1:2
    08.03.2025 Flamengo - Vasco da Gama 2:1
    01.03.2025 Vasco da Gama - Flamengo 0:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro16104227:91834
    2Flamengo RJ15103229:62333
    3Palmeiras1492318:12629
    4Bragantino1683519:17227
    5Botafogo RJ1474317:71025
    6Bahia1474317:13425
    7Mirassol1466223:131024
    8Fluminense1462616:17-120
    9Atletico-MG1455416:15120
    10Internacional1555516:19-320
    11Corinthians1655615:19-420
    12Sao Paulo1647515:18-319
    13Ceara1553714:15-118
    14Gremio1445514:20-617
    15Vitoria1637613:17-416
    16Vasco1442815:19-414
    17Santos1542913:19-614
    18Juventude1432910:29-1911
    19Fortaleza1425713:20-711
    20Sport Recife1404107:23-164

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