Santos vs Vitória Salvador – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Santos - Vitória Salvador
Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 29
  • Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.63
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
83% (421/505)58% (106/182)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.82
Total shots
149
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
83% (421/505)58% (106/182)
Long passes
54% (20/37)35% (16/46)
Passes in final third
74% (123/166)49% (29/59)
Crosses
14% (5/37)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.43
Throw-ins
2722
Fouls
1318
Tackles
100% (15/15)65% (13/20)
Duels won
7055
Clearances
2041
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.820.69
Goals prevented
-0.180.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho (Pen),
  • 44+5', Escobar G. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Edu 🟨,
  • 45+5', Lopez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Edu , Neris ,
  • 46', Escobar G. , Souza ,
  • 58', Caceres R. 🟨,
  • 64', Baralhas , Willian Oliveira ,
  • 64', Matheuzinho , Lucas Braga ,
  • 69', Arao W. , Victor Hugo ,
  • 69', Barreal A. , Robson Junior ,
  • 76', Cantalapiedra A. , Osvaldo ,
  • 78', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
  • 78', Lopez R. , Carlinhos ,
  • 78', Guilherme , Tiquinho Soares ,
  • 83', Ze Rafael 🟨,
  • 86', Ze Rafael , Gabriel Bontempo ,

Chances of winning


Santos
59.4%
Draw
24.8%
Vitória Salvador
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 25.1% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 24.5% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
  • Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Santos - Vitória Salvador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.73)
    3.82
    (3.73)
    5.97
    (4.48)
    4.8%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Santos - Vitória Salvador?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Santos (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Santos is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Santos: Joao Schmidt (Yellow Cards) Neymar (Thigh Injury) Rincon T. (Calf Injury) Thaciano (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga (Yellow Cards) Dudu (Red Card) Erick (Yellow Cards) Fintelman (Hip Injury) Jamerson (Ankle Injury) Renato Kayzer (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santos won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Vitória Salvador - Santos 0:1
    Latest results of Santos
    15.10.2025 Santos - Corinthians 3:1
    05.10.2025 Ceará - Santos 3:0
    01.10.2025 Santos - Grêmio 1:1
    21.09.2025 Santos - São Paulo 1:0
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras28194553:262761
    2Flamengo RJ28187356:154161
    3Cruzeiro29168542:212156
    4Mirassol301510552:312155
    5Bahia30147940:34649
    6Botafogo RJ29137939:261346
    7Fluminense291351136:35144
    8Sao Paulo301181133:33041
    9Vasco291161246:41539
    10Corinthians301091132:35-339
    11Bragantino291061334:44-1036
    12Atletico-MG29991127:32-536
    13Gremio29991130:37-736
    14Ceara29981227:28-135
    15Internacional30981335:43-835
    16Santos28871328:40-1231
    17Vitoria307101327:44-1731
    18Juventude29751723:53-3026
    19Fortaleza28661626:44-1824
    20Sport Recife292111622:46-2417

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
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          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet