Result
0:1
20/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 29
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/505) | 58% (106/182) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (421/505) | 58% (106/182) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (20/37) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (123/166) | 49% (29/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/37) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (15/15) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 41', 0 - 1, Matheuzinho (Pen),
- 44+5', Escobar G. 🟨,
- 45+1', Edu 🟨,
- 45+5', Lopez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Edu ↓, Neris ↑,
- 46', Escobar G. ↓, Souza ↑,
- 58', Caceres R. 🟨,
- 64', Baralhas ↓, Willian Oliveira ↑,
- 64', Matheuzinho ↓, Lucas Braga ↑,
- 69', Arao W. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
- 69', Barreal A. ↓, Robson Junior ↑,
- 76', Cantalapiedra A. ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
- 78', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
- 78', Lopez R. ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 78', Guilherme ↓, Tiquinho Soares ↑,
- 83', Ze Rafael 🟨,
- 86', Ze Rafael ↓, Gabriel Bontempo ↑,
Chances of winning
Santos
59.4% | Draw
24.8% | Vitória Salvador
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Santos - Vitória Salvador Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.73) |
3.82 ↑
(3.73) |
5.97 ↑
(4.48) |
4.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Santos - Vitória Salvador?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Vitória (4.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Vitória (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Santos (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Vitória (votes: 3 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Santos is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Santos: Joao Schmidt
(Yellow Cards)
Neymar
(Thigh Injury)
Rincon T.
(Calf Injury)
Thaciano
(Injury)
- There will not play in Vitória: Camutanga
(Yellow Cards)
Dudu
(Red Card)
Erick
(Yellow Cards)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Jamerson
(Ankle Injury)
Renato Kayzer
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Vitória: Ramos R.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Santos won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos won against Vitória Salvador?
Santos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória Salvador won against Santos?
Vitória Salvador has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Vitória Salvador were as follows:
25.05.2025
Vitória Salvador
-
Santos
0:1
Latest results of Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
