Vitória Salvador vs Santos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Vitória Salvador - Santos
Result
0:1
25/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 10
  • Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.91
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
88% (322/364)74% (202/274)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.130.91
xG on target (xGOT)
0.670.71
Total shots
198
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
116
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
156
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
88% (322/364)74% (202/274)
Long passes
57% (21/37)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
84% (90/107)67% (49/73)
Crosses
21% (7/34)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.66
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1415
Tackles
80% (8/10)80% (12/15)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
2331
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.710.67
Goals prevented
-0.290.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Luan Peres 🟨,
  • 17', Matheuzinho 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Guilherme , Souza (A),
  • 28', Ricardo Ryller 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gustavo Silva , Lucas Braga ,
  • 53', Baralhas 🟨,
  • 64', Barreal A. , Neymar ,
  • 64', Guilherme , Thaciano ,
  • 64', Ricardo Ryller , Erick ,
  • 64', Osvaldo , Leo Pereira ,
  • 71', Joao Basso , Luisao ,
  • 78', Deivid Washington , Luca Meirelles ,
  • 79', Rollheiser B. , Gabriel Bontempo ,
  • 90', Baralhas , Janderson ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitória Salvador
43.9%
Draw
30.1%
Santos
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 29.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.9% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória Salvador that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vitória Salvador - Santos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.43)
    3.16
    (3.24)
    3.64
    (2.95)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Vitória Salvador - Santos?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Santos will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.
    • Vitória has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vitória is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vitória: Pepe (Red Card) Willian Oliveira (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Santos: Escobar G. (Red Card) Gil (Injury) Joao Schmidt (Thigh Injury) Ze Ivaldo (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Vitória: Caceres R. (Inactive) Gabriel (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.1:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
    Latest results of Vitória Salvador
    Latest results of Santos
    22.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Santos 1:0
    18.05.2025 Corinthians - Santos 1:0
    12.05.2025 Santos - Ceará 0:0
    04.05.2025 Grêmio - Santos 1:0
    01.05.2025 Santos - CRB Maceio 1:1
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ19134236:92743
    2Palmeiras18123324:15939
    3Cruzeiro20115432:141838
    4Bahia1896325:17833
    5Botafogo RJ1885523:111229
    6Mirassol1878329:191029
    7Sao Paulo2078524:22229
    8Fluminense1883723:24-127
    9Bragantino2083922:26-427
    10Ceara1974819:19025
    11Atletico-MG1866620:21-124
    12Internacional1966722:26-424
    13Gremio1965819:25-623
    14Corinthians2057819:25-622
    15Santos19631020:29-921
    16Vasco19541025:26-119
    17Vitoria20310718:24-619
    18Juventude19531117:38-2118
    19Fortaleza19361019:31-1215
    20Sport Recife18171012:27-1510

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet